Este estudo objetivou avaliar um projeto implantado recentemente em Minas Gerais, e que se dedica à produção de insumos para o setor siderúrgico, na perspectiva de geração de valor aos investidores. Foram identificados os fluxos livres de caixa, tanto na projeção explícita quanto na perpetuidade, e estimado o custo de oportunidade de capital (WACC) apropriado para descontar os valores futuros previstos. Para a precificação do custo de capital próprio utilizou-se o CAPM condicional. Contudo, como a empresa não tem ações negociadas em bolsa de valores, foi necessário utilizar o método bottom up com informações de empresas com riscos similares para as estimativas do beta alavancado (proxy de medida de risco sistêmico). Os resultados apontam que o projeto pode gerar valor positivo nos vários cenários considerados, mas apenas o cenário mais arrojado de aumento da produção e vendas poderia resultar em valores compatíveis com as expectativas dos acionistas por ocasião da realização dos investimentos. Os demais cenários implicariam em ineficiências operacionais, pois resultariam em uma baixa ocupação da capacidade instalada. PROJECT EVALUATION AND ECONOMIC-FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT: AN APPLIED STUDY IN THE METALURGY INDUSTRY ABSTRACTThis study aimed to evaluate a newly deployed project in Minas Gerais that is engaged in producing inputs for the steel industry, in terms of generation of value to investors. Cash flows were identified, both in explicit projections and in perpetuity, as well as the capital cost of opportunity necessary to discount the future amounts of cash. The estimated cost of capital requires the pricing of the cost of equity, and in this study was used the conditional CAPM. However, as the company has no shares traded on the stock exchange, it was necessary to use the bottom up method with information from companies with similar risks for estimates of leverage beta (systematic risk measurement proxy). The results show that the company can generate positive value in the various scenarios considered, but only the most daring scenario of increased production and sales could result in amounts consistent with the expectations of shareholders upon realization of investments. The other scenarios would imply operational inefficiencies, as it would result in a low occupation of installed capacity. Furthermore, the Value at Risk (VaR) and the expected value of the project were estimated.
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