To understand the cause of observed amplification of seismic waves even at hill‐zone sites in the Valley of Mexico, digital accelerographs have been installed at three especially chosen sites. Two of these sites, MADI and TEXC, located on hard Pleistocene lava (a few meters in thickness) overlying Oligocene andesites, were expected to be free of site effects. Analysis of the data recorded by these and other accelerographs during three moderate, shallow subduction zone events, however, shows significant amplification at MADI and TEXC between 0.2 and 0.6 Hz with respect to established attenuation relations. The cause of the amplification at hill‐zone sites in the Valley of Mexico, including MADI and TEXC, may be pervasive low S‐wave velocity in, and complex structure of, the upper layers of the volcanic rocks. If so, then there may not be a truly “hard” rock site in the valley.
Flow-based Market Coupling (FBMC) provides welfare gains from cross-border electricity trading by efficiently providing coupling capacity between bidding zones. In the coupled markets of Central Western Europe, common regulations define the FBMC methods, but transmission system operators keep some degrees of freedom in parts of the capacity calculation. Besides, many influencing factors define the flow-based capacity domain, making it difficult to fundamentally model the capacity calculation and to derive reliable forecasts from it. In light of this challenge, the given contribution reports findings from the attempt to model the capacity domain in FBMC by applying Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). As target values, the Maximum Bilateral Exchanges (MAXBEX) have been chosen. Only publicly available data has been used as inputs to make the approach reproducible for any market participant. It is observed that the forecast derived from the ANN yields similar results to a simple carry-forward method for a one-hour forecast, whereas for a longer-term forecast, up to twelve hours ahead, the network outperforms this trivial approach. Nevertheless, the overall low accuracy of the prediction strongly suggests that a more detailed understanding of the structure and evolution of the flow-based capacity domain and its relation to the underlying market and infrastructure characteristics is needed to allow market participants to derive robust forecasts of FMBC parameters.
The 29 October, 1900, earthquake occurred in Venezuela triggered six landslides and six liquefactions located in the center-north region of Venezuela and La Tortuga island. Due to the location of the coseismic effects, the barycenter and the focal depth related to this earthquake, it was possible to calculate the magnitude by using several statistical methods. The results show a magnitude in the range 7.4-7.7 Mw, with an average value equal to 7.6 Mw, which is consistent with the instrumental magnitude of 7.6 Mw obtained by Fiedler (1988) and the macrosismic magnitude by Vásquez et al. (2018) equal to 7.5 ± 0.3 Mw estimated by using the Bakun and Wentworth (1997) method.
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