This paper develops a macroprudential liquidity stress test model for Indonesian banks. Our model incorporates two factors driving liquidity runs: (i) idiosyncratic factors; and (ii) macroeconomic factors. We estimate this model using a sample of 113 banks over the period of January 2011 to June 2018, and dynamic panel data estimators. We establish significant transmission channels from macroeconomic and idiosyncratic (bank idiosyncratic risks) factors to liquidity runs. By using the macroeconomic scenario transmission, we find the liquidity stress test to be more consistent with the solvency stress test.
Purpose This paper aims to examine non-core deposit (NCD), or the fraction of deposit most likely to be withdrawn, based on bank liquidity behavior. NCD is an analytical component of bank deposit; hence, its withdrawal rate is crucial. Design/methodology/approach The paper categorizes all 114 commercial banks in Indonesia using K-Median clustering and produces NCD coefficients for each cluster. Clustering result resembles the bank ownership-based grouping. Findings Generally, state-owned banks and private-domestic banks have smaller NCD coefficients compared to foreign-owned, joint-venture and regional government-owned banks. The NCD coefficient then can form thresholds for an event of extreme deposit withdrawal for macroprudential surveillance. Originality/value NCD is an analytical indicator that can be useful to manage the liquidity risk of banks; however, this indicator is rarely found in the literatures, hence not many know how to estimate the indicator.
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