Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after a successful external electrical cardioversion (ECV) is common. Assessing an individual's risk of AF recurrence is a critical part of the treatment plan. We aimed to develop a prognostic prediction score to predict AF recurrence in AF patients who underwent successful ECV. Methods: A retrospective cohort study that included AF patients who underwent successful ECV was conducted with a primary outcome of AF recurrence at 6 months. Logistic regression analysis was done to identify variables, and a prognostic prediction score was created and internally validated. Results: Four prognostic predictors were identified, including the type of AF, persistent AF (1 point) and long-standing persistent AF (4 points), previous cardioversion (1 point), stroke/transient ischemic attack (3 points), and left atrial volume index ≥40 mL/m 2 (6 points). The total score of 14 was further divided into 3 risk groups; low-risk (0-2 points), moderate-risk (3-7 points), and high-risk (8-14 points). The positive likelihood ratio for a moderate-risk patient was 2.08 (95% CI, 1.64-2.63) and for a high-risk patient was 7.90 (95% CI, 2.48-25.17). The score showed good discrimination power with the c-statistic of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.69-0.79). Conclusions: A simple prognostic prediction score for AF recurrence after successful ECV was created with a promising internally validated discrimination power. An external assessment of its usefulness as a tool to identify patients with low, moderate, and high risk for AF recurrence is warranted.

No abstract

Aims We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis on 3 outcomes. We assessed the efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) in morbidly obese patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We compared the efficacy and safety of DOAC in obese patients and non-obese patients with AF. Finally, we updated the current knowledge of outcomes of AF patients with obesity compared to normal-weight patients regardless of anticoagulation type. Methods and results Using PubMed and Embase, we searched for literature published from inception to August 2020 for studies conducted in morbidly obese patients with AF who used DOACs and/or VKA for stroke or systemic embolism (stroke/SE) prevention that report efficacy and/or safety data. GRADE assessment was performed to determine the quality of the meta-analysis results. DOAC was not statistically different from VKA in reducing stroke/SE with RR of 0.85 (95%CI: 0.56 to 1.29; very low certainty evidence). Major bleeding risk was lower in the DOAC groups with RR of 0.62 (95%CI: 0.48 to 0.80; low certainty evidence). Obese patients with AF who used DOACs had lower risk of stroke/SE and similar major bleeding risk compared to nonobese patients with RR of 0.77 (95%CI: 0.70 to 0.84; low certainty evidence) and 1.02 (95%CI: 0.94 to 1.09; low certainty evidence), respectively. Obese patients with AF who used any type of anticoagulant had lower risk of stroke/SE compared to normal-weight patients with RR of 0.62 (95%CI: 0.57 to 0.69; low certainty evidence) Conclusions The use of DOACs in morbidly obese patients maybe reasonable if needed, but more dedicated studies are needed to make a more robust recommendation.

Background Outdoor workers, such as forestry workers, are at an increased risk for contracting tick‐borne diseases due to their prolonged time spent in tick habitats. Although well studied in Europe, no studies have been conducted with forestry workers in the Northeastern United States since 1990s. Methods Full‐time forestry workers and two comparison groups (volunteer firefighter/first responders and indoor/healthcare workers) within New York State Department of Environmental Conservation Regions 3, 4, 5, 6, and 7 were recruited for this cross‐sectional seroprevalence study. Blood draws were conducted to test for antibodies to Lyme, anaplasmosis, babesiosis, and ehrlichiosis. Surveys were administered to determine personal risk factors and protective behaviors. Results Between November 2020 and May 2021, 256 (105 forestry, 101 firefighter/first responder, and 50 indoor/healthcare) workers participated in this study. Forestry workers had a probability of testing positive nearly twice as high for any tick‐borne disease (14%) compared to firefighter/first responders (8%) and to indoor workers (6%); however, this difference was not statistically significant ( P = .140). Forestry workers were more likely to find embedded ticks on themselves ( f = 33.26, P < .0001 vs both comparison groups) and to have been previously diagnosed with a tick‐borne disease ( P = .001 vs firefighter/first responders, P = .090 vs indoor/healthcare workers). Conclusions This pilot study suggests a higher proportion of tick‐borne disease risk among forestry workers compared to firefighters/first responders and indoor/healthcare workers with lesser exposure. A larger study to confirm or refute this pilot data could help optimize mitigation/prevention strategies.

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Gender-related differences in phenotypic expression and outcomes have been established in many cardiac conditions; however, the impact of gender in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) remains unclear. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the differences in clinical outcomes between female and male HCM patients. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE from inception to October 2020. Included were cohort studies that compared outcomes of interest including all-cause mortality, HCM-related mortality, and worsening heart failure (HF) or HF hospitalization between male and female. Data from each study were combined using the random effects model to calculate pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). <b><i>Results:</i></b> Eleven retrospective cohort studies with a total of 9,427 patients (3,719 females) were included. Female gender was significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (pooled OR = 1.63, 95% CI: 1.26–2.10, <i>p</i> ≤ 0.001), HCM-related mortality (pooled OR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.08–2.01, <i>p</i> = 0.015), and worsening HF or HF hospitalization (pooled OR = 2.05, 95% CI: 1.76–2.39, <i>p</i> ≤ 0.001). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Female gender was associated with a worse prognosis in HCM. These findings suggest the need for improved care in women including early identification of disease and more possible aggressive management. Moreover, gender-based strategy may benefit in HCM patients.