SummaryBackgroundUncertainties persist about the magnitude of associations of diabetes mellitus and fasting glucose concentration with risk of coronary heart disease and major stroke subtypes. We aimed to quantify these associations for a wide range of circumstances.MethodsWe undertook a meta-analysis of individual records of diabetes, fasting blood glucose concentration, and other risk factors in people without initial vascular disease from studies in the Emerging Risk Factors Collaboration. We combined within-study regressions that were adjusted for age, sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, and body-mass index to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for vascular disease.FindingsAnalyses included data for 698 782 people (52 765 non-fatal or fatal vascular outcomes; 8·49 million person-years at risk) from 102 prospective studies. Adjusted HRs with diabetes were: 2·00 (95% CI 1·83–2·19) for coronary heart disease; 2·27 (1·95–2·65) for ischaemic stroke; 1·56 (1·19–2·05) for haemorrhagic stroke; 1·84 (1·59–2·13) for unclassified stroke; and 1·73 (1·51–1·98) for the aggregate of other vascular deaths. HRs did not change appreciably after further adjustment for lipid, inflammatory, or renal markers. HRs for coronary heart disease were higher in women than in men, at 40–59 years than at 70 years and older, and with fatal than with non-fatal disease. At an adult population-wide prevalence of 10%, diabetes was estimated to account for 11% (10–12%) of vascular deaths. Fasting blood glucose concentration was non-linearly related to vascular risk, with no significant associations between 3·90 mmol/L and 5·59 mmol/L. Compared with fasting blood glucose concentrations of 3·90–5·59 mmol/L, HRs for coronary heart disease were: 1·07 (0·97–1·18) for lower than 3·90 mmol/L; 1·11 (1·04–1·18) for 5·60–6·09 mmol/L; and 1·17 (1·08–1·26) for 6·10–6·99 mmol/L. In people without a history of diabetes, information about fasting blood glucose concentration or impaired fasting glucose status did not significantly improve metrics of vascular disease prediction when added to information about several conventional risk factors.InterpretationDiabetes confers about a two-fold excess risk for a wide range of vascular diseases, independently from other conventional risk factors. In people without diabetes, fasting blood glucose concentration is modestly and non-linearly associated with risk of vascular disease.FundingBritish Heart Foundation, UK Medical Research Council, and Pfizer.

ObjectiveTo conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of epidemiological studies investigating the association of arsenic, lead, cadmium, mercury, and copper with cardiovascular disease.DesignSystematic review and meta-analysis.Data sourcesPubMed, Embase, and Web of Science searched up to December 2017.Review methodsStudies reporting risk estimates for total cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, and stroke for levels of arsenic, lead, cadmium, mercury, or copper were included. Two investigators independently extracted information on study characteristics and outcomes in accordance with PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines. Relative risks were standardised to a common scale and pooled across studies for each marker using random effects meta-analyses.ResultsThe review identified 37 unique studies comprising 348 259 non-overlapping participants, with 13 033 coronary heart disease, 4205 stroke, and 15 274 cardiovascular disease outcomes in aggregate. Comparing top versus bottom thirds of baseline levels, pooled relative risks for arsenic and lead were 1.30 (95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.63) and 1.43 (1.16 to 1.76) for cardiovascular disease, 1.23 (1.04 to 1.45) and 1.85 (1.27 to 2.69) for coronary heart disease, and 1.15 (0.92 to 1.43) and 1.63 (1.14 to 2.34) for stroke. Relative risks for cadmium and copper were 1.33 (1.09 to 1.64) and 1.81 (1.05 to 3.11) for cardiovascular disease, 1.29 (0.98 to 1.71) and 2.22 (1.31 to 3.74) for coronary heart disease, and 1.72 (1.29 to 2.28) and 1.29 (0.77 to 2.17) for stroke. Mercury had no distinctive association with cardiovascular outcomes. There was a linear dose-response relation for arsenic, lead, and cadmium with cardiovascular disease outcomes.ConclusionExposure to arsenic, lead, cadmium, and copper is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease. Mercury is not associated with cardiovascular risk. These findings reinforce the importance of environmental toxic metals in cardiovascular risk, beyond the roles of conventional behavioural risk factors.

Background-Measurement of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentration or its precursor (N-terminal fragment [NT-proBNP]) is recommended in patients with symptoms of left ventricular dysfunction and in other settings, but the relevance of these peptides to cardiovascular disease (CVD) in general populations or in patients with stable vascular disease is uncertain. Methods and Results-Data were collated from 40 long-term prospective studies involving a total of 87 474 participants and 10 625 incident CVD outcomes. In a comparison of individuals in the top third with those in the bottom third of baseline values of natriuretic peptides, the combined risk ratio (RR), adjusted for several conventional risk factors, was 2.82 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.40 to 3.33) for CVD. Analysis of the 6 studies with at least 250 CVD outcomes (which should be less prone to selective reporting than are smaller studies) yielded an adjusted RR of 1. Key Words: cardiovascular diseases Ⅲ meta-analysis Ⅲ natriuretic peptides B -type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a 32-amino acid polypeptide secreted by ventricular myocytes during periods of increased ventricular stretch and wall tension. This peptide is believed to play an important role in the regulation of blood pressure, blood volume, and sodium balance. On secretion, the BNP precursor is split into the biologically active peptide and the more stable N-terminal fragment (NT-proBNP). 1,2 Measurement of circulating levels of BNP or NT-proBNP has been recommended in the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with symptoms of left ventricular dysfunction 3 and for stratification of risk in patients with acute coronary syndromes. 4,5 Because in vitro studies have reported that natriuretic peptides are directly released from cardiomyocytes in response to myocardial ischemia, 6,7 it has been proposed that their circulating levels are relevant to subsequent risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) other than heart failure. Clinical Perspective on p 2187Although many prospective studies have investigated concentrations of natriuretic peptides in relation to the subsequent risk of CVD (eg, coronary heart disease [CHD] or stroke), most of them have not been systematically assessed. 8 -47 Two previous relevant reviews (in total involving 11 studies 48,49 ) involved only about one sixth of the currently available data. Interpretation of the evidence has been complicated by studies that have involved different markers (ie, BNP, NT-proBNP, or both), populations with different base- We report an updated meta-analysis of findings from 40 long-term prospective studies of BNP and NT-proBNP involving a total of 87 474 individuals, including 10 625 incident CVD outcomes, in 3 distinct groups: participants from approximately general populations, people selected on the basis of elevated CVD risk factors, and patients with stable CVD at study entry. Methods Study SelectionWe sought prospective studies that had been published before July 2009 and reported on associations of circulating BNP and/or NTproBNP w...

Adult height has directionally opposing relationships with risk of death from several different major causes of chronic diseases.