The ratio of peak systolic pressure to end-systolic volume (PSP/ESV) is a measure of contractility that is relatively independent of loading conditions. To define the relation of this index to the natural history of chronic mitral insufficiency, follow-up studies were performed in 76 patients. All had isolated mitral insufficiency and were followed up for an average of 48 months. None underwent surgery. Cardiac volumes, ejection fraction and PSP/ESV ratio were calculated and Cox multiple regression analyses were performed to determine the relation of functional status, ejection fraction and PSP/ESV ratio to morbidity and mortality. Twenty-three patients died during follow-up; in 70% of those who died, the PSP/ESV ratio was reduced below the 20th percentile. However, as an independent predictor of mortality, this ratio was less sensitive (p greater than 0.05) than ejection fraction (p less than 0.01). Similarly, functional status change was predicted more accurately by ejection fraction (p less than 0.01) than by the PSP/ESV ratio (p greater than 0.05). Thus, although a decreased PSP/ESV ratio was associated with a higher mortality rate, other clinical and laboratory variables were superior to this index for determining morbidity and mortality in patients with isolated mitral insufficiency.

Summary:We examined the prognostic significance of an obstmctive lesion in the proximal left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery. Five-year or longer followup data were examined from 3 1 1 patients with > 70 % obstruction of the LAD treated without surgery. Mortality was compared in subsets with lesions proximal to and distal to the first septal perforating artery. Survival curves were worse in patients with proximal than with distal LAD disease (p <0.05); lesion location remained a significant determinant of survival when ejection fraction, age, and sex were controlled using a Cox regression model. However, when patient subsets were examined, survival with proximal LAD disease was worse than with distal obstruction only in the presence of an associated right coronary artery lesion and an ejection fraction of less than 40% (p