BACKGROUND & AIMS: Q8Tools for stratification of relapse risk of Crohn's disease (CD) after anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy cessation are needed. We aimed to validate a previously developed prediction model from the diSconTinuation in CrOhn's disease patients in stable Remission on combined therapy with Immunosuppressants (STORI) trial, and to develop an updated model. METHODS:Cohort studies were selected that reported on anti-TNF cessation in 30 or more CD patients in remission. Individual participant data were requested for luminal CD patients and anti-TNF treatment duration of 6 months or longer. The discriminative ability (concordance-statistic [C-statistic]) and calibration (agreement between observed and predicted risks) were explored for the STORI model. Next, an updated prognostic model was constructed, with performance assessment by cross-validation. RESULTS:This individual participant data meta-analysis included 1317 patients from 14 studies in 11 countries. Relapses after anti-TNF cessation occurred in 632 of 1317 patients after a median of 13 months. The pooled 1-year relapse rate was 38%. The STORI prediction model showed poor discriminative ability (C-statistic, 0.51). The updated model reached a moderate discriminative ability (C-statistic, 0.59), and included clinical symptoms at cessation (hazard ratio [HR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-4), younger age at diagnosis (HR, 1.5 for A1 Q9 vs A2;

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Background Ustekinumab (UST), which targets p40/interleukin (IL)-23 and IL-12, is an effective treatment for Crohn’s disease (CD). Therapeutic drug monitoring may optimize UST posology. The aim of this study was to investigate UST and IL-23 serum and tissue concentrations in relation to mucosal inflammation and treatment response at an early time point. Methods CD patients starting UST between December 2016 and November 2018 were prospectively enrolled. Endoscopies were performed at baseline and week 16. UST and IL-23 serum and tissue concentrations were measured at week 16. Clinical and biochemical response were defined as decline of ≥3 points in Harvey-Bradshaw Index and reduction of ≥50% in fecal calprotectin levels. Endoscopic response was defined as a ≥50% decline in Simple Endoscopic Score or a decline of ≥1 points in Rutgeerts score. Histological remission was defined as Global Histologic Disease Activity Score ≤4. Results Of 56 included patients, 17 (30%) of 56 showed clinical response, 16 (30%) of 53 showed biochemical response, and 20 (36%) of 56 showed endoscopic response. UST, but not IL-23, concentration in biopsies was correlated to levels in corresponding sera (P < .0001). No correlation was found between UST tissue levels and treatment response. Patients achieving biochemical response showed significantly higher UST serum levels (3.12 µg/mL vs 1.41 µg/mL; P = .01). Tissue IL-23-to-UST ratio correlated with mucosal inflammation (P = .01). Conclusions This is the first study to demonstrate a correlation between serum and tissue UST levels. While tissue IL-23-to-UST ratio correlated with mucosal inflammation, UST serum levels were more indicative for biochemical response. The role of UST levels for therapeutic drug monitoring in inflammatory bowel disease needs further research.

Background The association between vedolizumab (VDZ) exposure and treatment response is unclear and seems insufficiently explained by serum levels. The aim of this study was to assess the correlation between VDZ concentrations in serum and intestinal tissue and their association with mucosal inflammation and response to VDZ. Methods This prospective study included 37 adult patients with inflammatory bowel disease with endoscopic inflammation at baseline who started VDZ. At week 16, serum and biopsies were collected for VDZ measurement by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling was used to calculate serum trough concentrations and to assess intestinal tissue concentrations. Validated clinical and endoscopic scores were used to define clinical and endoscopic response and remission, and fecal calprotectin levels were used to assess biochemical response. Histologic remission was determined by the Nancy score. Results A positive correlation was observed between VDZ concentrations in serum and tissue (r2 = 0.83; P < 0.0001). High mucosal rather than serum VDZ levels correlated with a reduced endoscopic (P = 0.06) grade of mucosal inflammation. Furthermore, patients with a positive biochemical and endoscopic outcome had higher tissue levels of VDZ than patients without biochemical and endoscopic response (P < 0.01 and P = 0.04, respectively). Conclusions Tissue levels of VDZ may provide a better marker than serum levels for mucosal inflammation and objective treatment outcome at week 16. The potential of VDZ tissue levels for therapeutic drug monitoring in inflammatory bowel disease warrants further exploration.