The COVID-19 epidemic hit Italy particularly hard, yielding the implementation of strict national lockdown rules. Previous modelling studies at the national level overlooked the fact that Italy is divided into administrative regions which can independently oversee their own share of the Italian National Health Service. Here, we show that heterogeneity between regions is essential to understand the spread of the epidemic and to design effective strategies to control the disease. We model Italy as a network of regions and parameterize the model of each region on real data spanning over two months from the initial outbreak. We confirm the effectiveness at the regional level of the national lockdown strategy and propose coordinated regional interventions to prevent future national lockdowns, while avoiding saturation of the regional health systems and mitigating impact on costs. Our study and methodology can be easily extended to other levels of granularity to support policy- and decision-makers.
The problem of partitioning a power grid into a set of islands can be a solution to restore power dispatchment in sections of a grid affected by an extreme failure. Current solutions to this problem usually involve finding the partition of the grid into islands that minimizes the sum of their absolute power imbalances. This combinatorial problem is often solved through heuristic centralized methods. In this paper, we propose instead a distributed online algorithm through which nodes can migrate among islands, self-organizing the network into a suitable partition. We prove that, under a set of appropriate assumptions, the proposed solution yields a partition whose absolute power imbalance falls within a given bound of the optimal solution. We validate our analytical results by testing our partitioning strategy on the IEEE 118 and 300 benchmark problems.
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