To define the influence of prognostic factors in patients with community-acquired pneumococcal bacteremia, a 2-year prospective study was performed in 5 centers in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Spain, and Sweden. By multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of death among the 460 patients were age >65 years (odds ratio [OR], 2.2), living in a nursing home (OR, 2.8), presence of chronic pulmonary disease (OR, 2.5), high acute physiology score (OR for scores 9-14, 7.6; for scores 15-17, 22; and for scores >17, 41), and need for mechanical ventilation (OR, 4.4). Of patients with meningitis, 26% died. Of patients with pneumonia without meningitis, 19% of those with >/=2 lobes and 7% of those with only 1 lobe involved (P=.0016) died. The case-fatality rate differed significantly among the centers: 20% in the United States and Spain, 13% in the United Kingdom, 8% in Sweden, and 6% in Canada. Differences of disease severity and of frequencies and impact of underlying chronic conditions were factors of probable importance for different outcomes.

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BackgroundPatients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) often require hospitalisation. CRB-65 is a simple and useful scoring system to predict mortality. However, prognostic factors such as underlying disease and blood oxygenation are not included despite their potential to increase the performance of CRB-65.MethodsThe study included 1172 consecutive patients (830 inpatients, 342 outpatients) with CAP. Mortality, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with 95% CI were calculated. Prognostic accuracy was evaluated after adding coexisting illnesses according to the Pneumonia Severity Index (malignancy, heart failure, hepatic, renal and cerebrovascular disease) and pulse oximetry (SpO2).ResultsMean age was 65 years, 30-day mortality 7% (inpatients 9%, outpatients 1%). Addition of one point for the presence of ≥1 coexisting condition and one point for SpO2 <90% increased the area under the ROC curve of CRB-65 from 0.82 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.85) to 0.87 (95% CI 0.84 to 0.90; p<0.0001).ConclusionsModification of CRB-65 by including hypoxaemia and presence of specified underlying diseases increased the scoring system’s prognostic accuracy while retaining its independence of laboratory tests. DS CRB-65 may have the potential to further facilitate site of care decision for patients with CAP.

In the study presented here, data collected prospectively from 340 adult patients hospitalised in five countries with bacteremic pneumococcal CAP and treated with a ss-lactam +/- a macrolide were analysed retrospectively to evaluate the efficacy of this antimicrobial combination. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed no significant effect on case fatality rate when a macrolide/ss-lactam regimen was used as initial therapy. Results were not affected by severity of illness, or by excluding patients who died within 2 days of admission. Identified predictors of death in a multivariate regression model were age >65 years (OR=2.6), two or more lung lobes affected (OR=2.2), and severity of disease as estimated using the acute physiology score (APS)>8.