A variety of nonlinear follow-the-leader models of traffic flow are discussed in the light of available observational and experimental data. Emphasis is placed on steady-state flow equations. Some trends regarding the advantages of certain follow-the-leader functionals over others are established. However, it is found from extensive correlation studies that more data are needed before one can establish the unequivocal superiority of one particular model. A discussion is given of some ideas concerning the possible reasons for the existence of a bimodal flow versus concentration curve especially for multilane highways.

The manner in which vehicles follow each other on a highway (without passing) and the propagation disturbances down a line of vehicles has been investigated. Experimental data is presented which indicates that the acceleration at time t of a car which is attempting to follow a leader is proportional to the difference in velocity of the two cars at a time (t − Δ), Δ being about 1.5 sec and the proportionality constant being about 0.37 sec−1. It is shown theoretically that the motion of a long line of vehicles becomes unstable when the product of the lag time and the proportionality constant exceeds one-half. The experimental data implies that driving is done on the verge of instability. A variety of other laws of following is analyzed theoretically.

No abstract

The manner in which vehicles follow each other on a highway (without passing) and the propagation of disturbances down a line of vehicles has been investigated further. Criteria are derived for both local and asymptotic stability in a chain of vehicles. The influence of next nearest neighbors as well as a statistical theory of stability is discussed. “Acceleration noise” is proposed as a parameter that might be employed to characterize the driver-car-road complex under various conditions. Some preliminary experimental measurements of acceleration noise are discussed.

No abstract