Recent surveys of the empirical literature have concluded that the evidence is mixed on the magnitude, direction, and even existence of knowledge spillovers from foreign direct investment (FDI). This article reviews the recent theoretical and empirical literature that responds to these inconclusive results and considers three main issues: spillover channels, mediating factors, and FDI heterogeneity. Studies that take into account individual spillover channels find robust evidence of knowledge spillovers from FDI. Studies on the importance of mediating factors and FDI heterogeneity are less conclusive and could benefit from greater convergence in methodologies and greater specificity in the spillover channels of interest. More generally, many studies do not properly distinguish between knowledge spillovers and knowledge transfers, and empirical studies seem to greatly outnumber theoretical studies. JEL codes: F23, O33In the face of difficulties associated with capturing spillover effects and the multitude of factors that can influence the extent of spillovers in each economy, we caution researchers about drawing generalized conclusions about the existence of externalities associated with [foreign direct investment] . . . . (Javorcik and Spatareanu 2005, 47) Over the past decade or so a large body of research has examined knowledge spillovers from foreign direct investment (FDI). At several points along the way scholars have paused to take stock of the evidence (Blomström and Kokko 1998;Saggi 2002;Görg and Greenaway 2004). The verdict has largely been inconclusive. Indeed, the empirical inconclusiveness has become so infamous that virtually every study reviewed here begins with this observation as its main motivation. Explanations for the lack of conclusive results have focused on methodological and measurement issues (Görg and Strobl 2001), but this sort of approach has recently been disputed (Lipsey and Sjöholm 2005 The literature has developed in several directions to account for the ambiguity in earlier work. This study reviews these contributions, both theoretical and empirical. To provide some structure in a rapidly expanding field and to identify which approach or combination of approaches is likely to yield the most promising results, the study is structured around three themes. 1 More insight into the conditions under which knowledge spillovers from FDI are most likely to arise is especially important for developing countries. The highly ambiguous evidence to date on the existence of knowledge spillovers from FDI does not seem to warrant the large sums of money spent by governments to attract FDI. 2 After setting the stage in the following section, the article is then structured around figure 1, a representation of the FDI knowledge spillover process and the pieces of the puzzle that may affect it. 3 The section on opening the black box of FDI knowledge spillovers discusses the research on vertical linkages, worker mobility, and demonstration effects. This is followed by a review of the evidence o...
General rightsCopyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.-Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research -You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain -You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal Take down policyIf you believe that this document breaches copyright, please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. AbstractMany international business (IB) studies have used foreign direct investment (FDI) stocks to measure the aggregate value-adding activity of multinational enterprises (MNE) affiliates in host countries. We argue that FDI stocks are a biased measure of that activity, because the degree to which they overestimate or underestimate affiliate activity varies systematically with host-country characteristics. First, most FDI into countries that serve as tax havens generate no actual productive activity; thus FDI stocks in such countries overestimate affiliate activity. Second, FDI stocks do not include locally raised external funds, funds widely used in countries with well-developed financial markets or volatile exchange rates, resulting in an underestimation of affiliate activity in such countries. Finally, the extent to which FDI translates into affiliate activity increases with affiliate labor productivity, so in countries where labor is more productive, FDI stocks also result in an underestimation of affiliate activity. We test these hypotheses by first regressing affiliate value-added and affiliate sales on FDI stocks to calculate a country-specific mismatch, and then by regressing this mismatch on a host country's tax haven status, level of financial market development, exchange rate volatility, and affiliate labor productivity. All hypotheses are supported, implying that FDI stocks are a biased measure of MNE affiliate activity, and hence that the results of FDI-data-based studies of such activity need to be reconsidered.
This paper investigates the determinants of directed technical change at the firm level in the electricity generation sector. We use firm-level data on patents filed in renewable (REN) and fossil fuel (FF) technologies by 5,261 European firms over the period 1978-2006. We investigate how energy prices, market size and knowledge stocks affect firms' incentives to innovate in one technology relative to another and how these factors may thereby induce a shift from FF to REN technology in the electricity generation sector. We separately study small specialized firms, which innovate in only one type of technology during our sample period, and large mixed firms, which innovate in both technologies. We also separate the extensive margin innovation decision (i.e. whether to conduct innovation) from the intensive margin decision (i.e. how much to innovate). Overall, we find that all three factors -energy prices, market sizes and past knowledge stocks -matter to redirect innovation towards REN and away from FF technologies. Yet, we find that these factors have a larger impact on closing the technology gap through the entry (and exit) of small specialized firms, rather than through large mixed firms' innovation. An implication of our results is that firm dynamics are of direct policy interest to induce the replacement of FF by REN technologies in the electricity generation sector.
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