Consider options on a nonnegative underlying random variable with arbitrary distribution. In the absence of arbitrage, we show that at any maturity T, the large-strike tail of the Black-Scholes implied volatility skew is bounded by the square root of 2|x|/T, where x is log-moneyness. The smallest coefficient that can replace the 2 depends only on the number of finite moments in the underlying distribution. We prove the moment formula, which expresses explicitly this model-independent relationship. We prove also the reciprocal moment formula for the small-strike tail, and we exhibit the symmetry between the formulas. The moment formula, which evaluates readily in many cases of practical interest, has applications to skew extrapolation and model calibration.
We extend and unify Fourier-analytic methods for pricing a wide class of options on any underlying state variable whose characteristic function is known. In this general setting, we bound the numerical pricing error of discretized transform computations, such as DFT/FFT. These bounds enable algorithms to select efficient quadrature parameters and to price with guaranteed numerical accuracy.
Given the price of a call or put option, the Black-Scholes implied volatility is the unique volatility parameter for which the Bulack-Scholes formula recovers the option price. This article surveys research activity relating to three theoretical questions: First, does implied volatility admit a probabilistic interpretation? Second, how does implied volatility behave as a function of strike and expiry? Here one seeks to characterize the shapes of the implied volatility skew (or smile) and term structure, which together constitute what can be termed the statics of the implied volatility surface. Third, how does implied volatility evolve as time rolls forward? Here one seeks to characterize the dynamics of implied volatility.
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