Background: Whether diabetes and adipokine-driven inflammation explain the association of obesity to cognitive impairment is unknown. Methods: Structural equation models estimated the total effects of waist circumference on cognitive outcomes among African American participants cross-sectionally (index exam) and longitudinally. Total effects were deconstructed into direct pathways of waist circumference to cognitive impairment and indirect mediation pathways through leptin, soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (sTNFR2), and diabetes. Waist circumference, leptin, and sTNFR2 were standardized. Cognitive impairment was defined as MMSE <21 or a z-score < À1.5 standard deviation (SD). Incident cognitive impairment was defined among those without cognitive impairment at the index exam as follow-up MMSE<21, z-score < À1.5, MMSE decline >1 point/year, or z-score decline of >0.1 SD/year.Results: Among 1008 participants (70% women, mean age 62.9 years, 14.5% with obesity, 26% with diabetes), 132 (13%) had baseline cognitive impairment. Each SD higher waist circumference was associated with higher odds of cognitive impairment, odds ratio (OR) = 1.63; (95% confidence interval: 1.17, 2.24), with mediating pathways explaining 65% of the total effect (58% from diabetes; 7% from inflammation). At follow-up (mean 6.8 years), 106 of 535 (19.8%) had developed cognitive impairment. Each SD higher waist circumference was associated with higher odds of developing cognitive
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