To obtain a model for the prediction of acute renal failure (ARF) after coronary surgery, 2009 consecutive patients were investigated. ARF was defined as a peak postoperative serum creatinine value exceeding the preoperative value by 50% or more or a need for dialysis. A postoperative increase in serum creatinine of less than 50% was associated with an early mortality (< or = 30 days postop.) of 0.4%. Sixteen per cent of the patients increased their serum creatinine by more than 50% and in this group there was a mortality of 1.3%. Twenty-five patients (1.2%) required postoperative haemodialysis because of ARF and of these 11 (44%) died early, whereas another 7 patients with chronic renal failure, requiring both pre- and postoperative haemodialysis, all survived. Peak postoperative serum creatinine and changes from the preoperative value were analyzed and related to clinical variables. Multivariate analysis indicated that high preoperative serum creatinine, high age and postoperative haemodynamic instability were the most important risk factors for developing renal failure. A logistic model including these risk factors versus the probability of developing ARF is presented.
The influence of systemic blood flow (pump flow) and arterial blood pressure on renal function was studied during hypothermic cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) in 14 male patients where the pump flow rate was varied between 1.45 and 2.20 l.min-1 m-2. Renal blood flow (RBF) was measured in the left renal vein with retrograde thermodilution technique and urinary flow and circulatory variables were measured with an on-line computer set-up. During CPB the RBF comprised 12-13% of the systemic blood flow and was positively related to systemic blood pressure (r = 0.71; P < 0.001) and pump flow rate (r = 0.69; P < 0.001). These findings indicate that the renal autoregulation was not operative during the hypothermic CPB period. According to multiple regression analysis, RBF was primarily determined by the pump flow rate and systemic blood pressure was of secondary importance. Urinary flow increased during hypothermic CPB and became closely related to blood pressure and pump flow. According to multiple regression analysis, urinary flow was primarily determined by systemic blood pressure.
Incomplete revascularization of patients with 3-vessel disease is an independent risk factor for increased long-term mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting. In contrast, the use of on- or off-pump techniques had no significant effect on survival after adjusting for incomplete revascularization.
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