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Error-prone polymerase chain reaction (PCR) is widely used to introduce point mutations during in vitro evolution experiments. Accurate estimation of the mutation rate during error-prone PCR is important in studying the diversity of error-prone PCR product. Although many methods for estimating the mutation rate during PCR are available, all the existing methods depend on the assumption that the mutation rate is low and mutations occur at different places whenever they occur. The available methods may not be applicable to estimate the mutation rate during error-prone PCR. We develop a mathematical model for error-prone PCR and present methods to estimate the mutation rate during error-prone PCR without assuming low mutation rate. We also develop a computer program to simulate error-prone PCR. Using the program, we compare the newly developed methods with two other methods. We show that when the mutation rate is relatively low (< 10(-3) per base per PCR cycle), the newly developed methods give roughly the same results as previous methods. When the mutation rate is relatively high (> 5 x 10(-3) per base per PCR cycle, the mutation rate for most error-prone PCR experiments), the previous methods underestimate the mutation rate and the newly developed methods approximate the true mutation rate.

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