The aim of this review was to evaluate the risk of COVID-19 cytokine release syndrome (CRS) with HIV infection and meta-regress for indicator covariates. Electronic databases, including Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, Web of Sciences (WOS), EMBASE, Medline/PubMed, COVID-19 Research Database, and Scopus, were systematically searched till February 30, 2022. All human studies were included, irrespective of publication date or region. Eleven studies, with a total of 2,005,274 detailing cytokine release syndrome defined by specific parameters, were included. To pool the estimate, a random-effects model with risk ratio (RR) as the effect measure was used. Moreover, publication bias and sensitivity analysis were evaluated followed by meta-regression analysis to account for any possible covariates. This systematic review, metaanalysis, and meta-regression trial was registered (CRD42021264761) on the PROSPERO register. HIV infection showed an increased risk for COVID-19 cytokine release syndrome (RR= 1.48, 95% CI (1.16, 1.88) (P=0.002)) with substantial heterogeneity (I 2 > 80%) and a 4.6% cumulative incidence. The true effects size in 95% of all the comparable populations (prediction interval) fell between 0.67 to 3.29. HIV infection further showed an increased risk for intensive care unit (ICU) admission ((P<0.0001) (I² = 0%)] and mechanical ventilation (MV) ((P=0.04) (I² = 0%)) as the key indicators of cytokine release syndrome. Metaregression analysis demonstrated that COVID-19 cytokine release syndrome was influenced by the year a study was published (R² = 0.55) and the region from where the study was conducted (R² = 0.11). On metaregression analysis, the combined impact of all covariates in the model explained at least some of the variance in effect size (Q = 16.21, df = 6, P= 0.0127), and the proportion of variance explained by covariates on comparing the model with and without the covariates was 73 % and highly significant (Tau² = 0.1100, Tau = 0.3317, I² = 86.5%, Q = .99, df = 10, P<0.0001) (R² = 0.73). Our updated meta-analysis indicated that HIV infection was significantly associated with an increased risk for COVID-19 cytokine release syndrome, which, in addition, might be moderated by the year a study was published and the region in which the study was conducted. Further, the risk for intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mechanical ventilation (MV) were identified as the key indicators of cytokine release syndrome. We believe the updated data anchoring cytokine release syndrome will contribute to more substantiation of the findings reported by similar earlier studies.
Background: Post-COVID-19 sequalae involves a variety of new, returning or ongoing symptoms that people experience more than four weeks after getting COVID-19. The aims of this meta-analysis were to assess the prevalence of Post-Acute COVID-19 sequalae and estimate the average time to its diagnosis; and meta-regress for possible moderators. Methods: A standard search strategy was used in PubMed, and then later modified according to each specific database. Search terms included; long COVID-19 or post-acute COVID-19 syndrome/sequalae. The criteria for inclusion were published clinical articles reporting the long COVID-19, further, the average time to diagnosis of post-acute COVID-19 sequelae among primary infected patients with COVID-19. Random-effects model was used. Rank Correlation and Eggers tests were used to ascertain publication bias. Sub-group, sensitivity and meta-regression analysis were conducted. A 95% confidence intervals were presented and a p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Review Manager 5.4 and comprehensive meta-analysis version 4 (CMA V4) were used for the analysis. The trial was PROSPERO registered (CRD42022328509). Results: Prevalence of post-acute COVID-19 sequalae was 42.5% (95% confidence interval (CI) 36 % to 49.3%). The PACS event rates range was 25 % at four months and 66 % at two months and mostly, signs and symptoms of PASC were experienced at three (54.3%, P < 0.0001) to six months (57%, P < 0.0001), further increasing at 12 months (57.9%, P= 0.0148). At an average of two months, however with the highest event rate (66%), it was not significantly associated with PACS diagnosis (P=0.08). On meta-regression, comorbidities collectively contributed to 14% of PACS with a non-significant correlation (Q = 7.05, df = 8, p = 0.5313) (R-squared analog = 0.14). A cardiovascular disorder especially hypertension as a stand-alone, showed an event rate of 32% and significantly associated with PACS, 0.322 (95% CI 0.166, 0.532) (P < 0.001). Chronic obstructive pulmonary disorder (COPD) and abnormal basal metabolic index (BMI) had higher event rates of PACS (59.8 % and 55.9 %) respectively, with a non-significant correlation (P > 0.05). With a significant association, hospital re-admission contributed to 17% (Q = 8.70, df = 1, p = 0.0032) (R-squared analog= 0.17) and the study design 26% (Q = 14.32, df = 3, p = 0.0025) (R-squared analog= 0.26). All the covariates explained at least some of the variance in effect size on PACS at 53% (Q = 38.81, df = 19, p = 0.0047) (R-squared analog = 0.53). Conclusion: The prevalence of PACS in general population was 42.5%, of which cardiovascular disorders were highly linked with it with COPD and abnormal BMI also being possible conditions found in patients with PACS. Hospital re-admission predicted highly, an experience of PACS as well as prospective study design. Clinical and methodological characteristics in a specific study contributed to over 50% of PACS events. The PACS event rates ranged between 25 % at four months and 66 % at two months with most signs and symptoms experienced between three to six months increasing at 12 months.
Background. Long COVID is a wide range of new, returning, or ongoing health problems experienced after primary COVID-19 infection, with a possibility of broad adverse outcomes. The aim of this study was to determine the case fatality of of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) and assess possible covariates. Population and Methods. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis from 43 studies (367,236 patients), (June, 2020 - August, 2022). PASC mortality was assessed from six studies. With random-effects model, the pooled case fatality was measured. Publication bias was ascertained and meta-regression analysis done on predetermined covariates. Results. The estimated prevalence of PASC was 42.5% (95% CI = 36.0 % - 49.3%). The pooled case fatality was 7.4% (95% CI = 7.4% to 11.2%). The funnel plot suggested the presence of publication bias. Hospital re-admission (P = 0.0034) (R² = 1.00) and the year 2021 (P = 0.0309) (R² = 0.55) were associated with fatalities from PASC. Discussion. PASC increased the case-fatality of COVID-19, particularly during the year 2021, reflecting a longer follow-up of patients and with hospital re-admission. It is recommended to monitor patients re-admitted to hospital post index COVID-19 closely monitor specific clinical parameters that may increase the risk of death.
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