[1] The ability to reliably estimate CO 2 fluxes from current in situ atmospheric CO 2 measurements and future satellite CO 2 measurements is dependent on transport model performance at synoptic and shorter timescales. The TransCom continuous experiment was designed to evaluate the performance of forward transport model simulations at hourly, daily, and synoptic timescales, and we focus on the latter two in this paper. Twenty-five transport models or model variants submitted hourly time series of nine predetermined tracers (seven for CO 2 ) at 280 locations. We extracted synoptic-scale variability from daily averaged CO 2 time series using a digital filter and analyzed the results by comparing them to atmospheric measurements at 35 locations. The correlations between modeled and observed synoptic CO 2 variabilities were almost always largest with zero time lag and statistically significant for most models and most locations. Generally, the model results using diurnally varying land fluxes were closer to the observations compared to those obtained using monthly mean or daily average fluxes, and winter was often better simulated than summer. Model results at higher spatial resolution compared better with observations, mostly because these models were able to sample closer to the measurement site location. The amplitude and correlation of model-data variability is strongly model and season dependent. Overall similarity in modeled synoptic CO 2 variability suggests that the first-order transport mechanisms are fairly well parameterized in the models, and no clear distinction was found between the meteorological analyses in capturing the synoptic-scale dynamics.
[1] A forward atmospheric transport modeling experiment has been coordinated by the TransCom group to investigate synoptic and diurnal variations in CO 2 . Model simulations were run for biospheric, fossil, and air-sea exchange of CO 2 and for SF 6 and radon for [2000][2001][2002][2003]. Twenty-five models or model variants participated in the comparison. Hourly concentration time series were submitted for 280 sites along with vertical profiles, fluxes, and meteorological variables at 100 sites. The submitted results have been analyzed for diurnal variations and are compared with observed CO 2 in 2002. Mean summer diurnal cycles vary widely in amplitude across models. The choice of sampling location and model level account for part of the spread suggesting that representation errors in these types of models are potentially large. Despite the model spread, most models simulate the relative variation in diurnal amplitude between sites reasonably well. The modeled diurnal amplitude only shows a weak relationship with vertical resolution across models; differences in near-surface transport simulation appear to play a major role. Examples are also presented where there is evidence that the models show useful skill in simulating seasonal and synoptic changes in diurnal amplitude.
[1] Because very few measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) are available in the tropics, estimates of surface CO 2 fluxes in tropical regions are beset with considerable uncertainties. To improve estimates of tropical terrestrial fluxes, atmospheric CO 2 inversion was performed using passenger aircraft based measurements of the Comprehensive Observation Network for Trace gases by Airliner (CONTRAIL) project in addition to the surface measurement data set of GLOBALVIEW-CO 2 . Regional monthly fluxes at the earth's surface were estimated using the Bayesian synthesis approach focusing on the period 2006-2008 using the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model-based Transport Model (NICAM-TM). By adding the aircraft to the surface data, the posterior flux errors were greatly reduced; specifically, error reductions of up to 64% were found for tropical Asia regions. This strong impact is closely related to efficient vertical transport in the tropics. The optimized surface fluxes using the CONTRAIL data were evaluated by comparing the simulated atmospheric CO 2 distributions with independent aircraft measurements of the Civil Aircraft for the Regular Investigation of the atmosphere Based on an Instrument Container (CARIBIC) project. The inversion with the CONTRAIL data yields the global carbon sequestration rates of 2.22 AE 0.28 Pg C yr À1 for the terrestrial biosphere and 2.24 AE 0.27 Pg C yr À1 for the oceans (the both are adjusted by riverine input of CO 2 ). For the first time the CONTRAIL CO 2 measurements were used in an inversion system to identify the areas of greatest impact in terms of reducing flux uncertainties.
The Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) was successfully launched in January 2009, with the aim of providing global observations of greenhouse gases. We developed an algorithm to retrieve CO2 vertical profiles from the terrestrial radiation spectra at 700–800 cm−1 and assessed its validity. For this purpose, we first computed GOSAT pseudomeasurement spectra and then performed CO2 retrieval simulations using the maximum a posteriori (MAP) method, with analytical data for temperature information. Our simulations with no uncertainty in the estimates of atmospheric conditions such as surface temperature, surface emissivity, and profiles of temperature, water vapor, and ozone showed that the retrieved CO2 profiles had an accuracy of 1% above 800 hPa, with little dependence on the a priori profiles. Introducing correlations between layers in an a priori error covariance matrix was important for CO2 retrieval especially above 200 hPa. Enhancing the correlations below 800 hPa was important for CO2 retrieval there. Selecting 100 channels based on CO2 information content for all layers, 10 channels for the region above 55 hPa, and 50 channels for the region below 800 hPa was sufficient to achieve CO2 retrieval with 1% accuracy from the troposphere through the stratosphere. Our simulations with possible errors in the atmospheric conditions showed that 1% accuracy was also achieved at 600–100 hPa in every latitude region, although the retrieved CO2 concentrations probably included up to 4% positive and negative biases at 30°S–30°N above 100 hPa and at mid‐ and high latitudes below 600 hPa, respectively.
Lidar measurements and airborne-particle collections were made during KOSARP 87 ('KOSA' Research Program of Nagoya University; April-May 1987) at Nagoya (35"N, 137"E) to investigate the vertical distribution of Asian dust (KOSA) particles and the transport of these particles. According to the lidar measurements, the highly concentrated particle layers with large depolarization ratio were frequently in the range from about 2 km to about 6 km.Electron microscope observations on the morphology of individual particles in the height range from near the ground to about 4400 m suggested that the particle layers contained many soil particles. It is reasonable to consider that KOSA particles were very frequently transported from Asian desert areas to the islands of Japan in the middle troposphere, even when the effect of the KOSA was not detected near the ground. This 'background KOSA' has concentrations of about 1.9 -25 pg/m3 at the layer peaks and one order of magnitude smaller than the values of severe KOSA. However, the contribution of the 'weak KOSA' to the global budget of soil particles is not negligible since the frequency of occurrence of 'weak KOSA' is high. The reaction of soil particles sampled on the vapour-deposited Ca thin-film suggested that some of the particles were coated by water or solution containing SO:-. Such particles can absorb various atmospheric gases, and therefore the KOSA particles can play an important r6le in the geochemical cycle of many chemical constituents, as chemical reaction sites in the atmosphere and as carriers of the chemical products.
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