Within the framework of the international field campaign COPS (Convective and Orographically-induced Precipitation Study), a large suite of state-of-the-art meteorological instrumentation was operated, partially combined for the first time. This includes networks of in situ and remote-sensing systems such as the Global Positioning System as well as a synergy of multi-wavelength passive and active remote-sensing instruments such as advanced radar and lidar systems. The COPS field phase was performed from 01 June to 31 August 2007 in a low-mountain area in southwestern Germany/eastern France covering the Vosges mountains, the Rhine valley and the Black Forest mountains. The collected data set covers the entire evolution of convective precipitation events in complex terrain from their initiation, to their development and mature phase until their decay. Eighteen Intensive Observation Periods with 37 operation days and eight additional Special Observation Periods were performed, providing a comprehensive data set covering different forcing conditions. In this article, an overview of the COPS scientific strategy, the field phase, and its first accomplishments is given. Highlights of the campaign are illustrated with several measurement examples. It is demonstrated that COPS research provides new insight into key processes leading to convection initiation and to the modification of precipitation by orography, in the improvement of quantitative precipitation forecasting by the assimilation of new observations, and in the performance of ensembles of convection-permitting models in complex terrain.
ABSTRACT:To improve very-short-range forecasts particularly in convective situations, a version of the COSMO-Model (formerly known as LM) which simulates deep convection explicitly (horizontal grid length: 2.8 km) has been developed and is now run operationally at DWD. This model uses a prognostic type of precipitation scheme accounting for the horizontal drift of falling hydrometeors. To initialise convective-scale events, the latent heat nudging (LHN) approach has been adopted for the assimilation of surface precipitation rates derived from radar reflectivity data. It is found that a conventional LHN scheme designed for larger-scale models with diagnostic treatment of precipitation does not perform well and leads to strong overestimation of precipitation when applied to the convective-scale model with a prognostic treatment of precipitation. As illustrated here, surface precipitation and vertically integrated latent heating are far less correlated horizontally and temporally in such a model than with diagnostic precipitation, and this implies a violation of the basic assumption of LHN.Several revisions to the LHN scheme have therefore been developed in view of the characteristic model behaviour so as to re-enhance the validity of the basic assumption and to reduce greatly the overestimation of precipitation during assimilation. With the revised scheme, the model is able to simulate the precipitation patterns in good agreement with radar observations during the assimilation and the first hours of the forecast. The scheme also has a positive impact on screen-level parameters and on the longer-term climatology of the model. Extending the temporal impact of the radar observations further into the free forecast will be the focus of future research.
Abstract.Adaptive observation is an approach to improving the quality of numerical weather forecasts through the optimization of observing networks. It is sometimes referred to as Data Targeting (DT). This approach has been applied to high impact weather during specific field campaigns in the past decade. Adaptive observations may involve various types of observations, including either specific research observing platforms or routine observing platforms employed in an adaptive way. The North-Atlantic TReC 2003 and the EURORISK-PREVIEW 2008 exercises focused on the North-Atlantic and Western Europe areas using mainly routine observing systems. These campaigns also included Mediterranean cases.The most recent campaign, DTS-MEDEX-2009, is the first campaign in which the DT method has been used to address exclusively Mediterranean high impact weather events. In this campaign, which is an important stage in the MEDEX development, only operational radiosonde stations and commercial aircraft data (AMDAR) have provided additional observations. Although specific diagnostic studies are needed to assess the impact of the extra-observations on forecast skill and demonstrate the effectiveness of DTS-MEDEX-2009, some preliminary findings can be deduced from a survey of this targeting exercise.After a description of the data targeting system and some illustrations of particular cases, this paper attempts some comparisons of additional observation needs (through effectively deployed radio-soundings) with sensitivity climatologies in the Mediterranean. The first step towards a sensitivity climatology for Mediterranean cases of high imCorrespondence to: A. Jansa (ajansac@aemet.es) pact weather is indirectly given by the frequency of extrasoundings launched from the network of radiosonde stations involved in the DTS-MEDEX-2009 campaign.
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