Abstract. Global water vapour total column amounts have been retrieved from spectral data provided by the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) flying on ERS-2, which was launched in April 1995, and the SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY (SCIAMACHY) onboard ENVISAT launched in March 2002. For this purpose the Air Mass Corrected Differential Optical Absorption Spectroscopy (AMC-DOAS) approach has been used. The combination of the data from both instruments provides us with a long-term global data set spanning more than 11 years with the potential of extension up to 2020 by GOME-2 data on MetOp.Using linear and non-linear methods from time series analysis and standard statistics the trends of H 2 O columns and their errors have been calculated. In this study, factors affecting the trend such as the length of the time series, the magnitude of the variability of the noise, and the autocorrelation of the noise are investigated. Special emphasis has been placed on the calculation of the statistical significance of the observed trends, which reveal significant local changes from −5% per year to +5% per year. These significant trends are distributed over the whole globe. Increasing trends have been calculated for Greenland, East Europe, Siberia and Oceania, whereas decreasing trends have been observed for the north-
Citation:Mieruch, S., M. Schröder, S. Noël, and J. Schulz (2014), Comparison of decadal global water vapor changes derived from independent satellite time series, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 119, 12,489-12,499, doi:10.1002 Abstract We analyze trends in total column water vapor (TCWV) retrieved from independent satellite observations and retrieval schemes. GOME-SCIAMACHY (Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-SCanning Imaging Absorption spectroMeter for Atmospheric CHartographY) measurements are carried out in the visible part of the solar spectrum and present a partly cloud-corrected climatology that is available over land and ocean. The HOAPS (Hamburg Ocean Atmosphere Parameters and Fluxes from Satellite Data) product, provided by EUMETSAT's Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring is based on passive microwave observations from the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager. It also includes the TCWV from cloudy pixels but is only available over oceans. The common observation time period is between 1996 and 2005. Due to the relatively short length of the period, the strong interannual variability with strong contributions from El Niño and La Niña events and the strong anomaly at the start of the common period, caused by the 1997/1998 El Niño, the observed trends should not be interpreted as long-term climate trends. After subtraction of average seasonality from monthly gridded data, a linear model and a level shift model have been fitted to the HOAPS and GOME-SCIAMACHY data, respectively. Autocorrelation and cross correlation of fit residuals are accounted for in assessing uncertainties in trends. The trends observed in both time series agree within uncertainty margins. This agreement holds true for spatial patterns, magnitudes, and global averages. The consistency increases confidence in the reliability of the trends because the methods, spectral range, and observation technique as well as the satellites and their orbits are completely independent of each other. The similarity of the trends in both data sets is an indication of sufficient stability in the observations for the time period of ≈ 10 years.
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