IMPORTANCE Artificial intelligence (AI)-based retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) screening may improve ROP care, but its cost-effectiveness is unknown. OBJECTIVE To evaluate the relative cost-effectiveness of autonomous and assistive AI-based ROP screening compared with telemedicine and ophthalmoscopic screening over a range of estimated probabilities, costs, and outcomes.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTSA cost-effectiveness analysis of AI ROP screening compared with ophthalmoscopy and telemedicine via economic modeling was conducted. Decision trees created and analyzed modeled outcomes and costs of 4 possible ROP screening strategies: ophthalmoscopy, telemedicine, assistive AI with telemedicine review, and autonomous AI with only positive screen results reviewed. A theoretical cohort of infants requiring ROP screening in the United States each year was analyzed.MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Screening and treatment costs were based on Current Procedural Terminology codes and included estimated opportunity costs for physicians. Outcomes were based on the Early Treatment of ROP study, defined as timely treatment, late treatment, or correctly untreated. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed comparing AI strategies to telemedicine and ophthalmoscopy to evaluate the cost-effectiveness across a range of assumptions. In a secondary analysis, the modeling was repeated and assumed a higher sensitivity for detection of severe ROP using AI compared with ophthalmoscopy.
RESULTSThis theoretical cohort included 52 000 infants born 30 weeks' gestation or earlier or weighed 1500 g or less at birth. Autonomous AI was as effective and less costly than any other screening strategy.
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