We performed paleoseismological investigations at four sites across the normal Paganica fault (PF) (source of the 2009 Mw 6.3 L'Aquila earthquake), with the goal of reconstructing the rupture history and of contributing to the evaluation of the maximum event expected along the PF. We recognized five distinct surface faulting earthquakes (including the 2009) in the trenches. The age of the penultimate event is consistent with the 1461 earthquake; the third event back occurred around 1000 AD. The two oldest events have larger uncertainties and occurred in the interval 760 BC–670 AD and 2900–760 BC, respectively. The along‐strike vertical displacement for each paleoevent has a limited variability consistently with the fairly homogeneous slip observed in 2009 along the northern part of the rupture. Conversely, the throws change between distinct events and range between 0.15 m in 2009 (maximum estimate) and close to 0.4 (lower bound estimate) in earlier events. These paleorecords and the high fault escarpments imply that earthquakes larger than 2009 occurred on the PF, with implications for the level of hazard. Recurrence intervals also reflect a change with time, the average interval before ∼1000 AD is longer compared to that after this date. Two events occurred in the 2000–4000 years preceding ∼1000 AD, while three events occurred since ∼1000 AD. The age uncertainties affecting the interpreted events prevent the evaluation of a unique value for interevent interval; the older events appear closely spaced in time or far apart depending on the upper or lower boundary of the age interval. We tentatively assign an average interevent time of ∼500 years for the three youngest events, whereas the time elapsed between the previous ones could be larger, in the order of 1000–2000 years. We calculate a late Pleistocene dip‐slip rate for the PF of 0.2–0.4 mm/yr, consistent with 0.25–0.5 mm/yr for the early Pleistocene. Using age and throw of individual events, we calculate a similar late Holocene average dip‐slip rate of ∼0.3–0.4 mm/yr. This suggests that the portion of the PF where the 2009 continuous surface faulting occurred has fairly a constant average slip release since late Pleistocene. Finally, we discuss different rupture scenarios and alternative models of occurrence compatible with our data and their variability.
S U M M A R YIn this paper, we present a significant update of the Italian present-day stress data compilation not only to improve the knowledge on the tectonic setting of the region or to constrain future geodynamic models, but also to understand the mechanics of processes linked to faulting and earthquakes. In this paper, we have analysed, revised and collected new contemporary stress data from borehole breakouts and we have assembled earthquake and fault data. In total, 206 new quality-ranked entries complete the definition of the horizontal stress orientation and tectonic regime in some areas, and bring new information mainly in Sicily and along the Apenninic belt. Now the global Italian data set consists of 715 data points, including 499 of A-C quality, representing an increase of 37 per cent compared to the previous compilation. The alignment of horizontal stresses measured in some regions, closely matches the ∼N-S firstorder stress field orientation of ongoing relative crustal motions between Eurasia and Africa plates. The Apenninic belt shows a diffuse extensional stress regime indicating a ∼NE-SW direction of extension, that we interpret as related to a second-order stress field. The horizontal stress rotations observed in peculiar areas reflect a complex interaction between first-order stress field and local effects revealing the importance of the tectonic structure orientations. In particular, in Sicily the new data delineate a more complete tectonic picture evidencing adjacent areas characterized by distinct stress regime: northern offshore of Sicily and in the Hyblean plateau the alignment of horizontal stresses is consistent with the crustal motions, whereas different directions have been observed along the belt and foredeep.
We have studied the stress pattern of Italy using a dataset with 590 data records from the World Stress Map database release 2008 and 106 new data records to test the hypothesis the mean orientation of maximum horizontal stress is different at different depth sections. For this, we split the dataset into a shallow (0-6 km) and a deep (6-40 km) depth section. For the data analysis we used a new statistical tool that calculates the mean orientation on a 0.2° grid. The tool takes into account the distance to each grid point, number and quality of the data records within the search radius, and the radial distribution. The result is a smoothed Italian stress map that displays both; the mean orientation and the wave-length of the stress pattern. The stress pattern does not vary in depth except for two areas (Sardinia and southern Apulia). Therefore stress data from different depths can be used to estimate the mean orientation and the wave-length of the stress pattern in Italy. Furthermore, the smoothed Italian stress map reveals that most of Italy has short wave-length stress patterns (<150 km). This indicates that the stress field is not controlled by first-order stress sources of plate tectonics, i.e. the convergence of Africa with respect to Eurasia, but that second-order stress sources such as topography, density, strength contrasts, and major faults systems are of great importance. In four regions (western part of the Alps, northern Tuscany, northern Adriatic Sea, Calabria and eastern part of Sicily) the wave-length is <100 km. High values of the circular variance of the mean orientation observed here are driven by third-order local stress sources, such as basins or local neotectonic structures.
Abstract. Deeply rooted thrust zones are key features of tectonic processes and the evolution of mountain belts. Exhumed and deeply eroded orogens like the Scandinavian Caledonides allow us to study such systems from the surface. Previous seismic investigations of the Seve Nappe Complex have shown indications of a strong but discontinuous reflectivity of this thrust zone, which is only poorly understood. The correlation of seismic properties measured on borehole cores with surface seismic data can constrain the origin of this reflectivity. To this end, we compare seismic velocities measured on cores to in situ velocities measured in the borehole. For some intervals of the COSC-1 borehole, the core and downhole velocities deviate by up to 2 km s−1. These differences in the core and downhole velocities are most likely the result of microcracks mainly due to depressurization. However, the core and downhole velocities of the intervals with mafic rocks are generally in close agreement. Seismic anisotropy measured in laboratory samples increases from about 5 % to 26 % at depth, correlating with a transition from gneissic to schistose foliation. Thus, metamorphic foliation has a clear expression in seismic anisotropy. These results will aid in the evaluation of core-derived seismic properties of high-grade metamorphic rocks at the COSC-1 borehole and elsewhere.
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