Place-based short-term crime prediction models leverage the spatio-temporal patterns of historical crimes to predict aggregate volumes of crime incidents at specific locations over time. Under the umbrella of the crime opportunity theory, that suggests that human mobility can play a role in crime generation, increasing attention has been paid to the predictive power of human mobility in place-based short-term crime models. Researchers have used call detail records (CDR), data from location-based services such as Foursquare or from social media to characterize human mobility; and have shown that mobility metrics, together with historical crime data, can improve short-term crime prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose to use a publicly available fine-grained human mobility dataset from a location intelligence company to explore the effects of human mobility features on short-term crime prediction. For that purpose, we conduct a comprehensive evaluation across multiple cities with diverse demographic characteristics, different types of crimes and various deep learning models; and we show that adding human mobility flow features to historical crimes can improve the F1 scores for a variety of neural crime prediction models across cities and types of crimes, with improvements ranging from 2% to 7%. Our analysis also shows that some neural architectures can slightly improve the crime prediction performance when compared to non-neural regression models by at most 2%.
Objective: Social media mining may provide surprising information about unknown effects of drugs. We endeavored to uncover such unknown drug-disease relationships by text mining of audio record transcripts from the popular NPR show, The People's Pharmacy.
Materials and Methods: We used Google Cloud to transcribe episodes of the NPR podcast into textual documents. We then built a pipeline for systematically pre-processing the text to ensure quality input to the core classification model. Finally, results of the model were filtered by a series of post-processing steps. Our classification model itself uses the FLAIR language model pre-trained on PubMed abstracts. The modular nature of our pipeline allows for ease of future developments in this area by substituting higher quality components at each stage of the pipeline. To validate the drug-disease relating assertions extracted from the podcast, we utilized the DrugCentral database and ROBOKOP biomedical knowledge graph, which capture drug-disease relationships for FDA approved medications.
Results: Our model identified 128 drug-disease pairs that were found in DrugCentral and 112 novel candidate pairs requiring expert review. To demonstrate the expert review process, we found literature evidence supporting the assertions for novel drug-disease pairs.
Discussion and Conclusion: Text mining of social media is increasingly used to uncover novel relationships between semantic concepts corresponding to biomedical concepts. However, mining audio transcripts of specialized podcast shows has not been explored previously for this purpose. Using this approach, we have identified several unknown drug-disease relationships with support in biomedical literature. The proposed approach can extend beyond radio podcasts and could be applied to any source of audio and textual data.
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