Surface dust mass concentrations, extracted from filters collected at Miami, Florida, and Ragged Point, Barbados, since 1974 and 1973, respectively, provide a rare, unusual, and important metric of the intercontinental transport of North African dust. The daily-resolved time series, updated through December 2018 for Miami and through December 2015 along with May–September 2016 and January–March and June–August 2017 for Barbados, indicate summer-mean dust mass concentrations have mostly decreased this decade at Miami, but not at Barbados, where instead the events containing the highest dust mass concentration events may be shifting to earlier in the year.

Abstract. North African dust reaches the southeastern United States every summer. Size-resolved dust mass measurements taken in Miami, Florida, indicate that more than one-half of the surface dust mass concentrations reside in particles with geometric diameters less than 2.1 µm, while vertical profiles of micropulse lidar depolarization ratios show dust reaching above 4 km during pronounced events. These observations are compared to the representation of dust in the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) aerosol reanalysis and closely related Goddard Earth Observing System model version 5 (GEOS-5) Forward Processing (FP) aerosol product, both of which assimilate satellite-derived aerosol optical depths using a similar protocol and inputs. These capture the day-to-day variability in aerosol optical depth well, in a comparison to an independent sun-photometer-derived aerosol optical depth dataset. Most of the modeled dust mass resides in diameters between 2 and 6 µm, in contrast to the measurements. Model-specified mass extinction efficiencies equate light extinction with approximately 3 times as much aerosol mass, in this size range, compared to the measured dust sizes. GEOS-5 FP surface-layer sea salt mass concentrations greatly exceed observed values, despite realistic winds and relative humidities. In combination, these observations help explain why, despite realistic total aerosol optical depths, (1) free-tropospheric model volume extinction coefficients are lower than those retrieved from the micro-pulse lidar, suggesting too-low model dust loadings in the free troposphere, and (2) model dust mass concentrations near the surface can be higher than those measured. The modeled vertical distribution of dust, when captured, is reasonable. Large, aspherical particles exceeding the modeled dust sizes are also occasionally present, but dust particles with diameters exceeding 10 µm contribute little to the measured total dust mass concentrations after such long-range transport. Remaining uncertainties warrant a further integrated assessment to confirm this study's interpretations.

North African dust reaches the southeast United States every summer. Measurements taken in Miami, Florida indicate that more than one-half of the surface dust mass concentrations reside in particles with diameters less than 2.1 µm, while vertical profiles of micropulse lidar depolarization ratios show dust reaching above four km during pronounced events.These observations are compared to the representation of dust in the MERRA-2 aerosol reanalysis and closely-related GEOS-5 Forward Processing (FP) aerosol product, both of which assimilate satellite-derived aerosol optical depths using a similar 5 protocol and inputs. These capture the day-to-day variability in aerosol optical depth well, in a comparison to an independent sun-photometer-derived aerosol optical depth dataset. Measured near-surface dust mass concentrations slightly exceed model values, with most of the modeled dust mass in diameters between 2-6 µm. Modeled-specified mass extinction efficiencies equate light extinction with approximately three times as much aerosol mass, in this size range, compared to the measured dust sizes. GEOS-5 FP surface-layer sea salt mass concentrations greatly exceed observed values, despite realistic winds and 10 relative humidities. In combination, these observations help explain, why, despite realistic total aerosol optical depths, 1) freetropospheric model volume extinction coefficients are lower than those retrieved from the micro-pulse lidar, suggesting too low model dust loadings, and 2) model dust mass concentrations near the surface are higher than those measured. The modeled vertical distribution of dust, when captured, is reasonable. Large, aspherical particles exceeding the modeled dust sizes are also occasionally present, but dust particles with diameters exceeding ten µm contribute little to the measured total dust mass 15 concentrations after such long-range transport. A further integrated assessment is needed to confirm this study's interpretations.

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