ObjectiveA tool to stratify the risk of stroke recurrence in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) could be useful in research and clinical practice. We aimed to determine whether a score can be developed and externally validated for the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.MethodsWe pooled the data of all consecutive patients with ESUS from 11 prospective stroke registries. We performed multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify predictors of stroke recurrence. Based on the coefficient of each covariate of the fitted multivariable model, we generated an integer-based point scoring system. We validated the score externally assessing its discrimination and calibration.ResultsIn 3 registries (884 patients) that were used as the derivation cohort, age, leukoaraiosis, and multiterritorial infarct were identified as independent predictors of stroke recurrence and were included in the final score, which assigns 1 point per every decade after 35 years of age, 2 points for leukoaraiosis, and 3 points for multiterritorial infarcts (acute or old nonlacunar). The rate of stroke recurrence was 2.1 per 100 patient-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.44–3.06) in patients with a score of 0–4 (low risk), 3.74 (95% CI 2.77–5.04) in patients with a score of 5–6 (intermediate risk), and 8.23 (95% CI 5.99–11.3) in patients with a score of 7–12 (high risk). Compared to low-risk patients, the risk of stroke recurrence was significantly higher in intermediate-risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.78, 95% CI 1.1–2.88) and high-risk patients (HR 4.67, 95% CI 2.83–7.7). The score was well-calibrated in both derivation and external validation cohorts (8 registries, 820 patients) (Hosmer-Lemeshow test χ2: 12.1 [p = 0.357] and χ2: 21.7 [p = 0.753], respectively). The area under the curve of the score was 0.63 (95% CI 0.58–0.68) and 0.60 (95% CI 0.54–0.66), respectively.ConclusionsThe proposed score can assist in the identification of patients with ESUS at high risk for stroke recurrence.
Conclusion: Long-term OAC in secondary stroke prevention is associated with a lower frequency of bleeding complications than stroke recurrences. No differences between anticoagulant drugs were found in any of the analyzed outcomes. The main cause for OAC switch during follow-up was stroke recurrence.
Introducción. La esclerosis múltiple afecta principalmente a mujeres en edad fértil, y el período de gestación y posparto es de especial interés por las peculiaridades que comporta en cuanto a evolución de la enfermedad y por las consecuencias terapéuticas que se derivan. En el período de lactancia materna (LM), la elección de la estrategia de tratamiento debe poner en una balanza, por un lado, los beneficios bien establecidos de la LM para el recién nacido y su madre y, por el otro, el perfil de seguridad y potenciales efectos adversos en el lactante derivados de la exposición a los fármacos modificadores de la enfermedad, por transferencia a través de leche materna. Desarrollo. Se realiza una revisión de la evidencia actual acerca de la seguridad de los fármacos modificadores de la enfermedad disponibles para el tratamiento de la esclerosis múltiple durante el período de LM, y se recogen datos de transferencia de los diferentes fármacos a la leche materna, así como los potenciales efectos adversos descritos en el lactante. Los fármacos considerados de primera elección durante este período son el interferón beta y el acetato de glatiramer. El resto de los fármacos modificadores de la enfermedad no están aceptados para su utilización en el período de LM por ficha técnica. Sin embargo, en los últimos años, se han publicado datos de estudios de práctica clínica y series de casos que indican que algunos de estos fármacos podrían utilizarse con seguridad durante este período. Conclusiones. Teniendo en cuenta los beneficios reconocidos de la LM para la salud tanto de la madre como del lactante, se debe recomendar la LM exclusiva a las pacientes con esclerosis múltiple siempre que sea posible. Es fundamental realizar una evaluación individualizada previa al embarazo y valorar las diferentes opciones de tratamiento en función de cada paciente.
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