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Background This study projected the number of metastatic breast cancer (mBC) cases and costs (medical and productivity) attributable to mBC through 2030 among three different age groups: younger (aged 18–44 years), midlife (aged 45–64 years) and older women (aged 65 years and older). Methods We developed a stock/flow model in which women enter the mBC population at initial diagnosis (de novo stage IV) or through progression of an earlier stage cancer. Women exit the mBC population through death. Input parameters by age and phase of treatment came from the US Census, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER), and peer-reviewed literature. Results In 2030, we estimated there would be 246,194 prevalent cases of mBC, an increase of 54.8% from the 2015 estimate of 158,997. We estimated total costs (medical and productivity) of mBC across all age groups and phases of care was $63.4 billion (95% sensitivity range = $59.4–67.4 billion) in 2015 and would increase to $152.4 billion (95% sensitivity range = $111.6–220.4 billion) in 2030, an increase of 140%. Trends in estimated costs were higher for younger and midlife women than for older women. Conclusions The cost of mBC could increase substantially in the coming decade, especially among younger and midlife women. While accounting for trends in incidence, progression and survival, our model did not attempt to forecast structural changes such as technological innovations in breast cancer treatment and healthcare delivery reforms. These findings can motivate early detection activities, direct value-driven mBC treatment, and provide a useful baseline against which to measure the effect of prevention and treatment efforts.

Purpose Pediatric hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) confers a substantial financial burden onto patients’ families. In addition to high direct medical costs, HSCTs typically require at least one caregiver to take time away from work or other responsibilities, often leading to reduced household income. Using mixed methods, we sought to understand the impact of pediatric HSCT on caregiver employment and financial need. Methods We surveyed caregivers of living pediatric patients who underwent HSCT at one of two southeastern transplant centers between 2012 and 2018 ( N = 95). We then interviewed a subset of caregivers ( N = 18) to understand whether and how employment disruption contributed to financial distress. Results Among caregivers surveyed, the majority of household wage earners changed their work schedules to attend medical appointments and missed workdays. This resulted in income loss for 87% of families, with 31% experiencing an income reduction of over 50%. Qualitative interviews pointed to four emergent themes: (1) employment disruption exacerbated existing financial challenges; (2) parental division of labor between caregiving and providing financially led to heightened psychological distress; (3) existing employment leave and protection resources were essential but not sufficient; and (4) the ability to work remotely and having a supportive employer facilitated employment maintenance throughout the HSCT process. Conclusion Expanded employment protections and access to accommodations are needed to limit the impact of HSCT on household income, health insurance, and financial hardship. Additionally, interventions are needed to ensure caregivers are equipped with the information necessary to navigate conversations with employers and prepare for the financial and psychological reality of employment disruption. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00520-022-06883-0.

PURPOSE Treatments for endocrine-refractory or triple-negative metastatic breast cancer (mBC) are modestly effective at prolonging life and improving quality of life but can be extremely expensive. Given these tradeoffs in quality of life and cost, the optimal choice of treatment sequencing is unclear. Cost-effectiveness analysis can explicitly quantify such tradeoffs, enabling more informed decision making. Our objective was to estimate the societal cost-effectiveness of different therapeutic alternatives in the first- to third-line sequences of single-agent chemotherapy regimens among patients with endocrine-refractory or triple-negative mBC. METHODS Using three dynamic microsimulation models of 10,000 patients each, three cohorts were simulated, based upon prior chemotherapy exposure: (1) unexposed to either taxane or anthracycline, (2) taxane- and anthracycline-exposed, and (3) taxane-exposed/anthracycline-naive. We focused on the following single-agent chemotherapy regimens as reasonable and commonly used options in the first three lines of therapy for each cohort, based upon feedback from oncologists treating endocrine-refractory or triple-negative mBC: (1) for taxane- and anthracycline-unexposed patients, paclitaxel, capecitabine (CAPE), or pegylated liposomal doxorubicin; (2) for taxane- and anthracycline-exposed patients, Eribulin, CAPE, or carboplatin; and (3) for taxane-exposed/anthracycline-naive patients, pegylated liposomal doxorubicin, CAPE, or Eribulin. RESULTS In each cohort, accumulated quality-adjusted life-years were similar between regimens, but total societal costs varied considerably. Sequences beginning first-line treatment with paclitaxel, carboplatin, and CAPE, respectively, for cohorts 1, 2, and 3, had lower costs and similar or slightly better outcomes compared with alternative options. CONCLUSION In this setting where multiple single-agent chemotherapy options are recommended by clinical guidelines and share similar survival and adverse event trajectories, treatment sequencing approaches that minimize costs early may improve the value of care.

68 Background: Accrual of racial and ethnic minority patients (pts) to clinical trials has been an ongoing challenge in research. Barriers exist at many levels of engagement including trial availability, screening biases, strict enrollment criteria, and structural racism. Lack of trial diversity has led to less generalizable medical evidence, suboptimal data for toxicity and efficacy of cancer treatments, poorer outcomes and continued mistrust by communities of color in research processes that exclude or marginalize them. Site factors and study design strategies associated with successful recruitment of diverse study populations are understudied. Methods: Alliance A191901 is an RCT testing combinations of text and telephone support to promote endocrine therapy adherence among breast cancer survivors. It oversamples Black participants and those < 50 years at thresholds of 30% each. Administrative enrollment data was used to track and describe monthly accrual trajectory by race among the initial 50% of participants (n = 590) and to examine associations between % Black participants accrued and accruing site characteristics, including site type, geographic region, % Black population in the site’s zip code and volume of pts by race accrued to recent (2018-2019) Alliance trials, using χ2 tests. We also examined patterns of Black participant accrual before and after closure of the A191901 study to non-Black participants. Results: At 50% accrual, 124 sites had enrolled at least 1 participant. Among 590 participants, 9.7% were Black and 22.5% were < 50 years. Neither site type nor volume was associated with % Black participants recruited. Sites in the South recruited higher proportions of Blacks (19.0% vs 5.6% for Midwest, the lowest region, p < 0.001). Neighborhood racial composition was positively associated with accrual of Black participants (17.2% at sites from highest Black composition vs. 2.3% in lowest, p < 0.001). Recruitment trajectories of Black participants consistently lagged those of non-Black participants in the first half of the study; however, Black participants recruited per month numerically increased after the study reached target accrual of non-Blacks and closed to non-Black participants. Conclusions: Sites in neighborhoods and geographic regions with larger Black populations recruited higher proportions of Black participants, but site type and volume were not associated with recruitment of Black participants. Closure of non-Black study strata based on predetermined accrual targets may positively impact recruitment trajectories of Black participants, but further study is needed. Site selection based on neighborhood composition and geography may be an appropriate tool for increasing trial diversity. Support: UG1CA189823. Clinical trial information: NCT04379570.