Evidence before this study: Acute appendicitis is the most common general surgical emergency in children. Its diagnosis remains challenging and children presenting with acute right iliac fossa (RIF) pain may be admitted for clinical observation or undergo normal appendicectomy (removal of a histologically normal appendix). A search for external validation studies of risk prediction models for acute appendicitis in children was performed on MEDLINE and Web of Science on 12 January 2017 using the search terms ["appendicitis" OR "appendectomy" OR "appendicectomy"] AND ["score" OR "model" OR "nomogram" OR "scoring"]. Studies validating prediction models aimed at differentiating acute appendicitis from all other causes of RIF pain were included. No date restrictions were applied. Validation studies were most commonly performed for the Alvarado, Appendicitis Inflammatory Response Score (AIRS), and Paediatric Appendicitis Score (PAS) models. Most validation studies were based on retrospective, single centre, or small cohorts, and findings regarding model performance were inconsistent. There was no high quality evidence to guide selection of the optimum model and threshold cutoff for identification of low-risk children in the UK and Ireland. Added value of this study: Most children admitted to hospital with RIF pain do not undergo surgery. When children do undergo appendicectomy, removal of a normal appendix (normal appendicectomy) is common, occurring in around 1 in 6 children. The Shera score is able to identify a large low-risk group of children who present with acute RIF pain but do not have acute appendicitis (specificity 44%). This low-risk group has an overall 1 in 30 risk of acute appendicitis and a 1 in 270 risk of perforated appendicitis. The Shera score is unable to achieve a sufficiently high positive predictive value to select a high-risk group who should proceed directly to surgery. Current diagnostic performance of ultrasound is also too poor to select children for surgery. Implications of all the available evidence: Routine pre-operative risk scoring could inform shared decision making by doctors, children, and parents by supporting safe selection of lowrisk patients for ambulatory management, reducing unnecessary admissions and normal appendicectomy. Hospitals should ensure seven-day-a-week availability of ultrasound for medium and high-risk patients. Ultrasound should be performed by operators trained to assess for acute appendicitis in children. For children in whom diagnostic uncertainty remains following ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or low-dose computed tomography (CT) are second-line investigations.
To support the global restart of elective surgery, data from an international prospective cohort study of 8492 patients (69 countries) was analysed using artificial intelligence (machine learning techniques) to develop a predictive score for mortality in surgical patients with SARS-CoV-2. We found that patient rather than operation factors were the best predictors and used these to create the COVIDsurg Mortality Score (https://covidsurgrisk.app). Our data demonstrates that it is safe to restart a wide range of surgical services for selected patients.
Surgical and anatomical demonstrations have been fundamental to medical education since the times of John Hunter and William Cheselden, when groups of students and junior surgeons learnt by observing the masters of their time. With the advent of minimally invasive surgery it has become possible to obtain as good a view of an individual procedure as the primary surgeon him or herself. With technological advances in telemedicine and the increasing bandwidth offered by internet links, surgical procedures can be easily observed remotely in high quality with no concern for distance.
Background: Evidence-based interventions may reduce mortality in surgical patients. This study documented the prevalence of sepsis, adherence to guidelines in its management, and timing of source control in general surgical patients presenting as an emergency.Methods: Patients aged 16 years or more presenting with emergency general surgery problems were identified over a 7-day period and then screened for sepsis compliance (using the Sepsis Six standards, devised for severe sepsis) and the timing of source control (whether radiological or surgical). Exploratory analyses examined associations between the mode (emergency department or general practitioner) and time of admission, adherence to the sepsis guidelines, and outcomes (complications or death within 30 days).Results: Of a total of 5067 patients from 97 hospitals across the UK, 911 (18⋅0 per cent) fulfilled the criteria for sepsis, 165 (3⋅3 per cent) for severe sepsis and 24 (0⋅5 per cent) for septic shock. Timely delivery of all Sepsis Six guidelines for patients with severe sepsis was achieved in four patients. For patients with severe sepsis, 17⋅6-94⋅5 per cent of individual guidelines within the Sepsis Six were delivered. Oxygen was the criterion most likely to be missed, followed by blood cultures in all sepsis severity categories. Surgery for source control occurred a median of 19⋅8 (i.q.r. 10⋅0-35⋅4) h after diagnosis. Omission of Sepsis Six parameters did not appear to be associated with an increase in morbidity or mortality. Conclusion:Although sepsis was common in general surgical patients presenting as an emergency, adherence to severe sepsis guidelines was incomplete in the majority. Despite this, no evidence of harm was apparent. * Members of the UK National Surgical Research Collaborative are co-authors of this study and can be found under the heading Collaborators Paper accepted 25 October 2016Published online in Wiley Online Library (www.bjs.co.uk). DOI: 10.1002/bjs.10432 IntroductionGeneral surgical patients presenting as an emergency account for over 7 per cent of hospital episodes in the USA and 14 000 ICU admissions per year in the UK 1 -3 . Sepsis is prevalent in this patient group. Early diagnosis of severe sepsis and initiation of goal-directed therapy can reduce mortality, irrespective of the need for surgery 4,5 . This evidence was used to develop a care bundle known as the Sepsis Six for managing patients with severe sepsis (Table 1) 6,7 . These standards have been endorsed by many professional organizations, including the Society of Critical Care Medicine, the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine and the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of England and Ireland 1,2,8,9 . Complete application of these interventions is thought to be associated with as much as a one-third reduction in mortality from sepsis, although uptake is uncertain amongst surgical patients presenting as an emergency 4,6 .The main aims of the present study were to assess adherence to the Sepsis Six guidelines and identify the timing of source control in general su...
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