Data centers (DCs) are becoming increasingly important in recent years, and highly efficient and reliable operation and management of DCs is now required. The generated heat density of the rack and information and communication technology (ICT) equipment is predicted to get higher in the future, so it is crucial to maintain the appropriate temperature environment in the server room where high heat is generated in order to ensure continuous service. It is especially important to predict changes of rack intake temperature in the server room when the computer room air conditioner (CRAC) is shut down, which can cause a rapid rise in temperature. However, it is quite difficult to predict the rack temperature accurately, which in turn makes it difficult to determine the impact on service in advance. In this research, we propose a model that predicts the rack intake temperature after the CRAC is shut down. Specifically, we use machine learning to construct a gradient boosting decision tree model with data from the CRAC, ICT equipment, and rack intake temperature. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method has a very high prediction accuracy: the coefficient of determination was 0.90 and the root mean square error (RMSE) was 0.54. Our model makes it possible to evaluate the impact on service and determine if action to maintain the temperature environment is required. We also clarify the effect of explanatory variables and training data of the machine learning on the model accuracy.

As data centers have become increasingly important in recent years their operational management must attain higher efficiency and reliability. Moreover, the power consumption of a data center is extremely large, and it is anticipated that it will continue to increase, so energy saving has become an urgent issue concerning data centers. In the meantime, the environment of the server rooms in data centers has become complicated owing to the introduction of virtualization technology, the installation of high-heat density information and communication technology (ICT) equipment and racks, and the diversification of cooling methods. It is very difficult to manage a server room in the case of such a complicated environment. When energy-saving measures are implemented in a server room with such a complicated environment, it is important to evaluate “temperature risks” in advance and calculate the energy-saving effect after the measures are taken. Under those circumstances, in this study, two prediction models are proposed: a model that predicts the rack intake temperature (so that the temperature risk can be evaluated in support of energy-saving measures implemented in the server room) and a model that evaluates the energy-saving effect (in relation to a baseline). Specifically, the models were constructed by using machine learning. The first constructed model evaluates the temperature risk in a verification room in advance, and it was confirmed that the model can evaluate the risk beforehand with high accuracy. The second constructed model—“baseline model” hereafter—supports energy-saving measures, and it was confirmed that the model can calculate the baseline (energy consumption) with high accuracy as well. Moreover, the effect of proposal process of energy-saving measures in the verification room was verified by using the two proposed models. In particular, the effectiveness of the model for evaluating temperature risk in advance and that of a technology for visualizing the energy-saving effect were confirmed.

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