procedures and the subanalysis contained 91 907 GI procedures and 1440 unique physicians. Patient characteristics are described in the Table. The Figure shows that the predicted probability of being coded as having a high risk of anesthesia more than doubled for all conditions from 2005 to 2013, indicating potential upcoding. The probability for patients with sleep apnea, for example, increased from 8.8% in 2005 to 21.5% in 2011 and remained at 20.8% in 2013. A similar pattern was also found among patients without any chronic conditions. In the subanalysis, the odds of patients with similar characteristics being coded as being at high risk in 2011 were approximately twice those in 2010, more than 3 times those in 2012, and about 5 times those in 2013, with all year-to-year changes found to be statistically significant.
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