Statistical models of evolution are algebraic varieties in the space of joint probability distributions on the leaf colorations of a phylogenetic tree. The phylogenetic invariants of a model are the polynomials which vanish on the variety. Several widely used models for biological sequences have transition matrices that can be diagonalized by means of the Fourier transform of an abelian group. Their phylogenetic invariants form a toric ideal in the Fourier coordinates. We determine generators and Gröbner bases for these toric ideals. For the Jukes-Cantor and Kimura models on a binary tree, our Gröbner bases consist of certain explicitly constructed polynomials of degree at most four.
We introduce and study the toric fiber product of two ideals in polynomial rings that are homogeneous with respect to the same multigrading. Under the assumption that the set of degrees of the variables form a linearly independent set, we can explicitly describe generating sets and Gröbner bases for these ideals. This allows us to unify and generalize some results in algebraic statistics.
Structural identifiability concerns finding which unknown parameters of a model can be quantified from given input-output data. Many linear ODE models, used in systems biology and pharmacokinetics, are unidentifiable, which means that parameters can take on an infinite number of values and yet yield the same input-output data. We use commutative algebra and graph theory to study a particular class of unidentifiable models and find conditions to obtain identifiable scaling reparametrizations of these models. Our main result is that the existence of an identifiable scaling reparametrization is equivalent to the existence of a scaling reparametrization by monomial functions. We provide an algorithm for finding these reparametrizations when they exist and partial results beginning to classify graphs which possess an identifiable scaling reparametrization.
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