The number of births in the United States decreased by 3% between 2008 and 2009 to 4 130 665 births. The general fertility rate also declined 3% to 66.7 per 1000 women. The teenage birth rate fell 6% to 39.1 per 1000. Birth rates also declined for women 20 to 39 years and for all 5-year groups, but the rate for women 40 to 44 years continued to rise. The percentage of all births to unmarried women increased to 41.0% in 2009, up from 40.6% in 2008. In 2009, 32.9% of all births occurred by cesarean delivery, continuing its rise. The 2009 preterm birth rate declined for the third year in a row to 12.18%. The lowbirth-weight rate was unchanged in 2009 at 8.16%. Both twin and triplet and higher order birth rates increased. The infant mortality rate was 6.42 infant deaths per 1000 live births in 2009. The rate is significantly lower than the rate of 6.61 in 2008. Linked birth and infant death data from 2007 showed that non-Hispanic black infants continued to have much higher mortality rates than non-Hispanic white and Hispanic infants. Life expectancy at birth was 78.2 years in 2009. Crude death rates for children and adolescents aged 1 to 19 years decreased by 6.5% between 2008 and 2009. Unintentional injuries and homicide, the first and second leading causes of death jointly accounted for 48.6% of all deaths to children and adolescents in 2009.
Overall, short-term hospital utilization among PACE participants is low in contrast with that for other older and disabled populations. Participant predictors of hospitalization in PACE are generally consistent with other studies in older clinical and community populations. Both utilization and risk vary considerably across PACE sites, independent of participant-level risk factors, hence suggesting that further investigation is required to study PACE's management of acute illness and hospitalization decisions. Critical to maintaining PACE's success is an understanding of the independent impact of the organization and the environment of health care on this management.
The Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) builds on On Lok's community-based care and financing model for disabled elderly people who are state certified as eligible for nursing home care. Yet PACE's diverse population has not been fully described. We obtained data for a complete cross-section of PACE participants from early 1997 (N = 2,917). Using grade-of-membership analysis, we classified participants on the basis of their specific diseases, impairments, and disabilities. The classification was reviewed by a physician panel to produce clinical profiles, which were then validated against participants' PACE tenure, demographics, supports, and health. Cognitive impairment, incontinence, and activities of daily living disabilities were influential in producing eight types, which correspond predictably to responses in tenure (the more disabled, ill types likely to be in PACE longer), demographics, health, and informal support.
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