In radiation therapy, the accurate delineation of gross tumor volume (GTV) is crucial for treatment planning. However, it is challenging for head and neck cancer (HNC) due to the morphology complexity of various organs in the head, low targets to background contrast and potential artifacts on conventional planning CT images. Thus, manual delineation of GTV on anatomical images is extremely time consuming and suffers from inter-observer variability that leads to planning uncertainty. With the wide use of PET/CT imaging in oncology, complementary functional and anatomical information can be utilized for tumor contouring and bring a significant advantage for radiation therapy planning. In this study, by taking advantage of multi-modality PET and CT images, we propose an automatic GTV segmentation framework based on deep learning for HNC. The backbone of this segmentation framework is based on 3D convolution with dense connections which enables a better information propagation and taking full advantage of the features extracted from multi-modality input images. We evaluate our proposed framework on a dataset including 250 HNC patients. Each patient receives both planning CT and PET/CT imaging before radiation therapy. Manually delineated GTV contours by radiation oncologists are used as ground truth in this study. To further investigate the advantage of our proposed Dense-Net framework, we also compared with the framework using 3D U-Net which is the state-of-the-art in segmentation tasks. Meanwhile, for each frame, the performance comparison between single modality input (PET or CT image) and multi-modality input (both PET/CT) is conducted. Dice coefficient, mean surface distance (MSD), 95th-percentile Hausdorff distance (HD 95 ) and displacement of mass centroid are calculated for quantitative evaluation. Based on the results of five-fold cross-validation, our proposed multi-modality Dense-Net (Dice 0.73) shows better performance than the compared network (Dice 0.71). Furthermore, the proposed Dense-Net structure has less trainable parameters than the 3D U-Net, which reduces the prediction variability. In conclusion, our proposed multimodality Dense-Net can enable satisfied GTV segmentation for HNC using multi-modality images and yield superior performance than conventional methods. Our proposed method provides an automatic, fast and consistent solution for GTV segmentation and shows potentials to be generally applied for radiation therapy planning of a variety of cancers.
Intuitively, extrapolating object trajectories should make visual tracking more accurate. This has proven to be true in many contexts that involve tracking a single item. But surprisingly, when tracking multiple identical items in what is known as "multiple object tracking," observers often appear to ignore direction of motion, relying instead on basic spatial memory. We investigated potential reasons for this behavior through probabilistic models that were endowed with perceptual limitations in the range of typical human observers, including noisy spatial perception. When we compared a model that weights its extrapolations relative to other sources of information about object position, and one that does not extrapolate at all, we found no reliable difference in performance, belying the intuition that extrapolation always benefits tracking. In follow-up experiments we found this to be true for a variety of models that weight observations and predictions in different ways; in some cases we even observed worse performance for models that use extrapolations compared to a model that does not at all. Ultimately, the best performing models either did not extrapolate, or extrapolated very conservatively, relying heavily on observations. These results illustrate the difficulty and attendant hazards of using noisy inputs to extrapolate the trajectories of multiple objects simultaneously in situations with targets and featurally confusable nontargets.
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