Background The growth of antibiotic resistance to Mycobacterium TB represents a major barrier to the goal of “Ending the global TB epidemics”. This study aimed to develop and validate a simple clinical scoring system to predict the unfavorable treatment outcomes (UTO) in multidrug- and rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) patients. Methods A total of 333 MDR/RR-TB patients were recruited retrospectively. The clinical, radiological and laboratory features were gathered and selected by lasso regression. These variables with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)>0.6 were subsequently submitted to multivariate logistic analysis. The binomial logistic model was used for establishing a scoring system based on the nomogram at the training set (N = 241). Then, another independent set was used to validate the scoring system (N = 92). Results The new scoring system consists of age (8 points), education level (10 points), bronchiectasis (4 points), red blood cell distribution width-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV) (7 points), international normalized ratio (INR) (7 points), albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) (5 points), and C-reactive protein to prealbumin ratio (CPR) (6 points). The scoring system identifying UTO has a discriminatory power of 0.887 (95% CI=0.835–0.939) in the training set, and 0.805 (95% CI=0.714–0.896) in the validation set. In addition, the scoring system is used exclusively to predict the death of MDR/RR-TB and has shown excellent performance in both training and validation sets, with AUC of 0.930 (95% CI=0.872–0.989) and 0.872 (95% CI=0.778–0.967), respectively. Conclusion This novel scoring system based on seven accessible predictors has exhibited good predictive performance in predicting UTO, especially in predicting death risk.

PurposeThe development of tuberculosis and inflammatory status are closely related. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with rifampicin/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB).Patients and methodsThis study recruited 504 patients with RR/MDR-TB from Wuhan Jinyintan Hospital. A total of 348 RR/MDR patients from January 2017 to December 2019 were defined as training set, the rest of patients as validation set. The patients were divided into three-risk degrees according to the levels of inflammatory biomarkers (median, 85th percentile). Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were used to assess survival differences among the groups. Cox proportion risk regression was used to identify risk factors for RR/MDR-TB mortality.ResultsIn training set, cox proportion risk regression analysis showed that high age (≥60 years) [OR (95%CI):1.053(1.03188-1.077)], smoking [OR (95%CI):2.206(1.191-4.085)], and bronchiectasia [OR (95%CI):2.867(1.548-5.311)] were prognostic factors for RR/MDR-TB patients. In addition, lower survival rates were observed in high CAR group [OR (95%CI):1.464(1.275-1.681)], high CPR group[OR (95%CI):1.268(1.101-1.459)], high CLR group[OR (95%CI):1.004(1.002-1.005)], high NLR group[OR (95%CI):1.103(1.069-1.139)], high PLR group[OR (95%CI):1.003(1.002-1.004)], and high MLR group[OR (95%CI):3.471(2.188-5.508)].Furthermore, AUCs of age, smoking, bronchiectasia, CAR, CPR, CLR, NLR, PLR, and MLR for predicting mortality in RR/MDR-TB patients were 0.697(95%CI:0.618-0.775), 0.603(95%CI:0.512-0.695), 0.629(95%CI:0.538-0.721), 0.748(95%CI:0.675-0.821, P<0.05), 0.754(95%CI:0.683-0.824, P<0.05), 0.759(95%CI:0.689-0.828, P<0.05), 0.789(95%CI:0.731-0.846, P<0.05), 0.740(95%CI:0.669-0.812, P<0.05), and 0.752(95%CI:0.685-0.819, P<0.05), respectively. Importantly, the AUC of predicting mortality of combination of six inflammatory biomarkers [0.823 (95%CI:0.769-0.876)] is higher than any single inflammatory biomarkers. Additionally, the similar results are also obtained in the validation set.ConclusionInflammatory biomarkers could predict the survival status of RR/MDR-TB patients. Therefore, more attention should be paid to the level of inflammatory biomarkers in clinical practice.