ObjectiveTo assess survival and identify predictors of survival in patients with systemic sclerosis-interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) who participated in the Scleroderma Lung Studies (SLS) I and II.MethodsSLS I randomised 158 patients with SSc-ILD to 1  year of oral cyclophosphamide (CYC) vs placebo. SLS II randomised 142 patients to 1 year of oral CYC followed by 1 year of placebo vs 2 years of mycophenolate mofetil. Counting process Cox proportional hazard modelling identified variables associated with long-term mortality in SLS I and II. Internal validation was performed using joint modelling.ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 8 years, 42% of SLS I patients died, and when known the cause of death was most often attributable to SSc. There was no significant difference in the time to death between treatment arms in SLS I or II. Higher baseline skin score, older age, and a decline in the forced vital capacity (FVC) and the diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) over 2 years were independently associated with an increased risk of mortality in SLS I. The Cox model identified the same mortality predictor variables using the SLS II data.ConclusionIn addition to identifying traditional mortality risk factors in SSc (skin score, age), this study demonstrated that a decline in FVC and DLCO over 2 years was a better predictor of mortality than baseline FVC and DLCO. These findings suggest that short-term changes in surrogate measures of SSc-ILD progression may have important effects on long-term outcomes.

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Objective Levels of Toll-like receptor 7 (TLR-7) are elevated in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but the impact on RA is unknown because the endogenous ligand for TLR-7 has not been identified. The aim of this study was to identify a TLR-7 endogenous ligand and to determine its role in the pathogenesis of RA. Methods The presence of an endogenous TLR-7 ligand, microRNA let-7b (miR-let-7b), was examined by real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis. Using RA knockdown cells, TLR-7–knockout mice, or antagonist, the specificity of miR-let-7b as a potential ligand for TLR-7 was tested. The mechanism by which ligation of miR-let-7b to TLR-7 promotes disease was investigated in RA myeloid cells by real-time PCR, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and fluorescence-activated cell sorting. We also established the effect of ectopic miR-let-7b expression on arthritic joint inflammation. Results We found that a TLR-7 endogenous ligand resides mainly in RA synovial fluid macrophages. The GU-rich domain in miR-let-7b was found to be essential for TLR-7 ligation, since miR-147, the positive control for GU, was able to stimulate TLR-7+ myeloid cells, whereas miR-124, the negative, non-GU, control, was not. We demonstrated that miR-let-7b or exosomes containing miR-let-7b could transform the RA and/or mouse naive or antiinflammatory macrophages into inflammatory M1 macrophages via TLR-7 ligation. Consistently, we showed that miR-let-7b provokes arthritis by remodeling naive myeloid cells into M1 macrophages via TLR-7 ligation, since joint swelling and M1 macrophages are absent in TLR-7−deficient mice. Conclusion The results of this study underscore the importance of miR-let-7b ligation to TLR-7 in the joint during the effector phase of RA.