A regional inundation early warning system is crucial to alleviating flood risks and reducing loss of life and property. This study aims to provide real-time multi-step-ahead forecasting of flood inundation maps during storm events for flood early warnings in inundation-prone regions. For decades, the Kemaman River Basin, located on the east coast of the West Malaysia Peninsular, has suffered from monsoon floods that have caused serious damage. The downstream region with an area of approximately 100 km2 located on the east side of this basin is selected as the study area. We explore and implement a hybrid ANN-based regional flood inundation forecast system in the study area. The system combines two popular artificial neural networks—the self-organizing map (SOM) and the recurrent nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs (RNARX)—to sequentially produce regional flood inundation maps during storm events. The results show that: (1) the 4 × 4 SOM network can effectively cluster regional inundation depths; (2) RNARX networks can accurately forecast the long-term (3–12 h) regional average inundation depths; and (3) the hybrid models can produce adequate real-time regional flood inundation maps. The proposed ANN-based model was shown to very quickly carry out multi-step-ahead forecasting of area-wide inundation depths with sufficient lead time (up to 12 h) and can visualize the forecasted results on Google Earth using user devices to help decision makers and residents take precautionary measures against flooding.
Flood disasters have had a great impact on city development. Early flood warning systems (EFWS) are promising countermeasures against flood hazards and losses. Machine learning (ML) is the kernel for building a satisfactory EFWS. This paper first summarizes the ML methods proposed in this special issue for flood forecasts and their significant advantages. Then, it develops an intelligent hydroinformatics integration platform (IHIP) to derive a user-friendly web interface system through the state-of-the-art machine learning, visualization and system developing techniques for improving online forecast capability and flood risk management. The holistic framework of the IHIP includes five layers (data access, data integration, servicer, functional subsystem, and end-user application) and one database for effectively dealing with flood disasters. The IHIP provides real-time flood-related data, such as rainfall and multi-step-ahead regional flood inundation maps. The interface of Google Maps fused into the IHIP significantly removes the obstacles for users to access this system, helps communities in making better-informed decisions about the occurrence of floods, and alerts communities in advance. The IHIP has been implemented in the Tainan City of Taiwan as the study case. The modular design and adaptive structure of the IHIP could be applied with similar efforts to other cities of interest for assisting the authorities in flood risk management.
Natural disasters have tended to increase and become more severe over the last decades. A preparation measure to cope with future floods is flood forecasting in each particular area for warning involved persons and resulting in the reduction of damage. Machine learning (ML) techniques have a great capability to model the nonlinear dynamic feature in hydrological processes, such as flood forecasts. Internet of Things (IoT) sensors are useful for carrying out the monitoring of natural environments. This study proposes a machine learning-based flood forecast model to predict average regional flood inundation depth in the Erren River basin in south Taiwan and to input the IoT sensor data into the ML model as input factors so that the model can be continuously revised and the forecasts can be closer to the current situation. The results show that adding IoT sensor data as input factors can reduce the model error, especially for those of high-flood-depth conditions, where their underestimations are significantly mitigated. Thus, the ML model can be on-line adjusted, and its forecasts can be visually assessed by using the IoT sensors’ inundation levels, so that the model’s accuracy and applicability in multi-step-ahead flood inundation forecasts are promoted.
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