The reporting odds ratio (ROR) is easy to calculate, and there have been several examples of its use because of its potential to speed up the detection of drug–drug interaction signals by using the “upward variation of ROR score.” However, since the validity of the detection method is unknown, this study followed previous studies to investigate the detection trend. The statistics models (the Ω shrinkage measure and the “upward variation of ROR score”) were compared using the verification dataset created from the Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report database (JADER). The drugs registered as “suspect drugs” in the verification dataset were considered as the drugs to be investigated, and the target adverse event in this study was Stevens–Johnson syndrome (SJS), as in previous studies. Of 3924 pairs that reported SJS, the number of positive signals detected by the Ω shrinkage measure and the “upward variation of ROR score” (Model 1, the Susuta Model, and Model 2) was 712, 2,112, 1758, and 637, respectively. Furthermore, 1239 positive signals were detected when the Haldane–Anscombe 1/2 correction was applied to Model 2, the statistical model that showed the most conservative detection trend. This result indicated the instability of the positive signal detected in Model 2. The ROR scores based on the frequency-based statistics are easily inflated; thus, the use of the “upward variation of ROR scores” to search for drug–drug interaction signals increases the likelihood of false-positive signal detection. Consequently, the active use of the “upward variation of ROR scores” is not recommended, despite the existence of the Ω shrinkage measure, which shows a conservative detection trend.
Background: Metformin had been recommended as the first-line treatment for type 2 diabetes since 2006 because of its low cost, high efficacy, and potential to reduce cardiovascular events, and thus death. However, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 (DPP-4) inhibitors are the most commonly prescribed first-line agents for patients with type 2 diabetes in Japan. Therefore, it is necessary to clarify the effect of DPP-4 inhibitors on preventing cardiovascular events, taking into consideration the actual prescription of antidiabetic drugs in Japan. Methods: This study examined the effect of DPP-4 inhibitors on preventing cardiovascular events. The Japanese Adverse Drug Event Report (JADER) database, a spontaneous reporting system in Japan, and the Japanese Medical Data Center (JMDC) Claims Database, a Japanese health insurance claims and medical checkup database, were used for the analysis. Metformin was used as the DPP-4 inhibitor comparator. Major cardiovascular events were set as the primary endpoint. Results: In the analysis using the JADER database, a signal of major cardiovascular events was detected with DPP-4 inhibitors (IC: 0.22, 95% confidence interval: 0.03–0.40) but not with metformin. In the analysis using the JMDC Claims Database, the hazard ratio of major cardiovascular events for DPP-4 inhibitors versus metformin was 1.01 (95% CI: 0.84–1.20). Conclusions: A comprehensive analysis using two different databases in Japan, the JADER and the JMDC Claims Database, showed that DPP-4 inhibitors, which are widely used in Japan, have a non-inferior risk of cardiovascular events compared to metformin, which is used as the first-line drug in the United States and Europe.
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