2 0 2 1 2 2 All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. ABSTRACT 2 5Background: COVID-19 has been spreading globally since emergence, but the 2 6 diagnostic resources are relatively insufficient. 7Results: In order to effectively relieve the resource deficiency of diagnosing 2 8 COVID-19, we developed a machine learning-based diagnosis model on basis of 2 9 laboratory examinations indicators from a total of 620 samples, and subsequently 3 0implemented it as a COVID-19 diagnosis aid APP to facilitate promotion. 1Conclusions: External validation showed satisfiable model prediction performance 3 2 (i.e., the positive predictive value and negative predictive value was 86.35% and 3 3 84.62%, respectively), which guarantees the promising use of this tool for extensive 3 4 screening.3 5

The worldwide pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) presents us with a serious public health crisis. To combat the virus and slow its spread, wider testing is essential. There is a need for more sensitive, specific, and convenient detection methods of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Advanced detection can greatly improve the ability and accuracy of the clinical diagnosis of COVID-19, which is conducive to the early suitable treatment and supports precise prophylaxis. In this article, we combine and present the latest laboratory diagnostic technologies and methods for SARS-CoV-2 to identify the technical characteristics, considerations, biosafety requirements, common problems with testing and interpretation of results, and coping strategies of commonly used testing methods. We highlight the gaps in current diagnostic capacity and propose potential solutions to provide cutting-edge technical support to achieve a more precise diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of COVID-19 and to overcome the difficulties with the normalization of epidemic prevention and control.

BackgroundTimely diagnosis of ischemic stroke (IS) in the acute phase is extremely vital to achieve proper treatment and good prognosis. In this study, we developed a novel prediction model based on the easily obtained information at initial inspection to assist in the early identification of IS.MethodsA total of 627 patients with IS and other intracranial hemorrhagic diseases from March 2017 to June 2018 were retrospectively enrolled in the derivation cohort. Based on their demographic information and initial laboratory examination results, the prediction model was constructed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm was used to select the important variables to form a laboratory panel. Combined with the demographic variables, multivariate logistic regression was performed for modeling, and the model was encapsulated within a visual and operable smartphone application. The performance of the model was evaluated on an independent validation cohort, formed by 304 prospectively enrolled patients from June 2018 to May 2019, by means of the area under the curve (AUC) and calibration.ResultsThe prediction model showed good discrimination (AUC = 0.916, cut-off = 0.577), calibration, and clinical availability. The performance was reconfirmed in the more complex emergency department. It was encapsulated as the Stroke Diagnosis Aid app for smartphones. The user can obtain the identification result by entering the values of the variables in the graphical user interface of the application.ConclusionThe prediction model based on laboratory and demographic variables could serve as a favorable supplementary tool to facilitate complex, time-critical acute stroke identification.

Background: Predicting the risk of progression to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) could facilitate personalized diagnosis and treatment options, thus optimizing the use of medical resources.Methods: In this prospective study, 206 patients with COVID-19 were enrolled from regional medical institutions between December 20, 2019, and April 10, 2020. We collated a range of data to derive and validate a predictive model for COVID-19 progression, including demographics, clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, and cytokine levels. Variation analysis, along with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Boruta algorithms, was used for modeling. The performance of the derived models was evaluated by specificity, sensitivity, area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Hosmer–Lemeshow test.Results: We used the LASSO algorithm and logistic regression to develop a model that can accurately predict the risk of progression to severe COVID-19. The model incorporated alanine aminotransferase (ALT), interleukin (IL)-6, expectoration, fatigue, lymphocyte ratio (LYMR), aspartate transaminase (AST), and creatinine (CREA). The model yielded a satisfactory predictive performance with an AUC of 0.9104 and 0.8792 in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The final model was then used to create a nomogram that was packaged into an open-source and predictive calculator for clinical use. The model is freely available online at https://severeconid-19predction.shinyapps.io/SHINY/.Conclusion: In this study, we developed an open-source and free predictive calculator for COVID-19 progression based on ALT, IL-6, expectoration, fatigue, LYMR, AST, and CREA. The validated model can effectively predict progression to severe COVID-19, thus providing an efficient option for early and personalized management and the allocation of appropriate medical resources.

IntroductionThe insufficient understanding and misdiagnosis of clinically diagnosed pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) without an aetiological evidence is a major problem in the diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB). This study aims to confirm the value of Long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) n344917 in the diagnosis of PTB and construct a rapid, accurate, and universal prediction model.MethodsA total of 536 patients were prospectively and consecutively recruited, including clinically diagnosed PTB, PTB with an aetiological evidence and non-TB disease controls, who were admitted to West China hospital from Dec 2014 to Dec 2017. The expression levels of lncRNA n344917 of all patients were analyzed using reverse transcriptase quantitative real-time PCR. Then, the laboratory findings, electronic health record (EHR) information and expression levels of n344917 were used to construct a prediction model through the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator algorithm and multivariate logistic regression.ResultsThe factors of n344917, age, CT calcification, cough, TBIGRA, low-grade fever and weight loss were included in the prediction model. It had good discrimination (area under the curve = 0.88, cutoff = 0.657, sensitivity = 88.98%, specificity = 86.43%, positive predictive value = 85.61%, and negative predictive value = 89.63%), consistency and clinical availability. It also showed a good replicability in the validation cohort. Finally, it was encapsulated as an open-source and free web-based application for clinical use and is available online at https://ziruinptb.shinyapps.io/shiny/.ConclusionCombining the novel potential molecular biomarker n344917, laboratory and EHR variables, this web-based prediction model could serve as a user-friendly, accurate platform to improve the clinical diagnosis of PTB.