Purpose Pneumatosis intestinalis (PI) in the bowel wall demonstrated in computed tomography (CT) of the abdomen is unspecific and its prognostic relevance remains poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of short-term mortality in patients with suspected mesenteric ischemia who were referred to abdominal CT and showed PI. Methods In this retrospective, IRB-approved, single-centre study, CT scans and electronic medical records of 540 patients who were referred to abdominal CT with clinical suspicion of mesenteric ischemia were analysed. 109/540 (20%) patients (median age 66 years, 39 females) showed PI. CT findings were correlated with surgical and pathology reports (if available), with clinical and laboratory findings, and with patient history. Short-term outcome was defined as survival within 30 days after CT. Results PI was found in the stomach (n = 6), small bowel (n = 65), and colon (n = 85). Further gas was found in mesenteric (n = 54), portal (n = 19) and intrahepatic veins (n = 36). Multivariate analysis revealed that PI in the colon [odds ratio (OR) 2.86], elevated blood AST levels (OR 3.00), and presence of perfusion inhomogeneities in other abdominal organs (OR 3.38) were independent predictors of short-term mortality. Surgery had a positive effect on mortality (88% lower likelihood of mortality), similar to the presence of abdominal pain (65% lower likelihood). Conclusions Our study suggests that in patients referred for abdominal CT with clinical suspicion of mesenteric ischemia, location of PI in the colon, elevation of blood AST, and presence of perfusion inhomogeneities in parenchymatous organs are predictors of short-term mortality. Graphical abstract

Background Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a devastating disease with poor prognosis. Due to the multitude of underlying factors, prediction of outcomes remains poor. We aimed to identify factors governing diagnosis and survival in AMI and develop novel prognostic tools. Methods This monocentric retrospective study analyzed patients with suspected AMI undergoing imaging between January 2014 and December 2019. Subgroup analyses were performed for patients with confirmed AMI undergoing surgery. Nomograms were calculated based on multivariable logistic regression models. Results Five hundred and thirty-nine patients underwent imaging for clinically suspected AMI, with 216 examinations showing radiological indication of AMI. Intestinal necrosis (IN) was confirmed in 125 undergoing surgery, 58 of which survived and 67 died (median 9 days after diagnosis, IQR 22). Increasing age, ASA score, pneumatosis intestinalis, and dilated bowel loops were significantly associated with presence of IN upon radiological suspicion. In contrast, decreased pH, elevated creatinine, radiological atherosclerosis, vascular occlusion (versus non-occlusive AMI), and colonic affection (compared to small bowel ischemia only) were associated with impaired survival in patients undergoing surgery. Based on the identified factors, we developed two nomograms to aid in prediction of IN upon radiological suspicion (C-Index = 0.726) and survival in patients undergoing surgery for IN (C-Index = 0.791). Conclusion As AMI remains a condition with high mortality, we identified factors predicting occurrence of IN with suspected AMI and survival when undergoing surgery for IN. We provide two new tools, which combine these parameters and might prove helpful in treatment of patients with AMI.

Objective Acute mesenteric ischemia (MI) is a devastating disease with poor prognosis. Due to the multitude of underlying factors and broad clinical presentation, prediction of outcomes remains poor. Here, we aimed to identify factors governing survival in MI and develop a novel prognostic tool. Methods The present study is a monocentric retrospective analysis of patients with suspected MI undergoing imaging between January 2014 and December 2019. Primary endpoint was identification of factors influencing survival in patients undergoing surgery for confirmed MI, secondary endpoint was the development of a predictive nomogram to aid in determination of patient prognosis. Results 539 patients underwent CT imaging for suspected MI, 216 of which had radiological indication of MI and 137 of those had subsequently confirmed MI. Factors associated with confirmed ischemia were increasing age, nausea/vomiting, history of peripheral arterial disease and presence of pneumatosis intestinalis and dilated bowel loops. 125 patients underwent surgery, 58 of which survived, and 67 died (median 9 days after diagnosis, IQR: 22). Baseline characteristics, including time from diagnosis to surgery were not different among patients, and outcomes were not affected by the presence of a surgical senior consultant or daytime of the operation. A minimally invasive approach was attempted more often in survivors (25.9% vs. 10.4%, p=0.024), however, in all but 1 patient (1.7%) conversion to open surgery was performed following detection of ischemia. Increasing age and ASA score, type 2 diabetes, decreased haemoglobin and pH, increased creatinine, radiological atherosclerosis, vascular occlusion (versus non-occlusive MI) and affection of the colon (compared to small bowel ischemia only) were independently associated with impaired survival. Based on a multivariate model, we developed a nomogram for survival prediction, which showed adequate power upon internal validation (C-index = 0.738, Figure 1). Conclusion Acute MI remains a condition with high mortality. Here, we identified factors affecting survival after MI, namely colonic involvement, vascular co-morbidities and increasing age. Minimally invasive surgical approaches have not yet gained widespread acceptance in treatment of confirmed MI. Our novel nomogram might prove helpful in outcome prediction of patients with MI.

No abstract