Background: Microalbuminuria is an early sign of kidney disease in diabetes and indicates cardiovascular risk. We tested if a prespecified urinary proteomic risk classifier (CKD273) was associated with development of microalbuminuria and if progression to microalbuminuria could be prevented with the mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist spironolactone. Methods: Prospective multicentre study in people with type 2 diabetes, normal urinary albumin excretion and preserved renal function in 15 European specialist centres. High-risk individuals determined by CKD273 were randomised 1:1 (interactive web response system) in a double-blind randomised controlled trial comparing spironolactone 25 mg o.d. to placebo. Primary endpoint was development of confirmed microalbuminuria in all individuals with available data. Secondary endpoints included reduction in incidence of microalbuminuria with spironolactone and association between CKD273 and impaired renal function defined as a glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min per 1•73 m 2. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02040441 and is completed. Findings: From March 25, 2014 to September 30, 2018 we followed 1775 participants, 12% (n=216) had high-risk urinary proteomic pattern of which 209 were included in the trial and assigned spironolactone (n=102) or placebo (n=107). Median follow-up time was 2•51 years (IQR 2•0-3•0). Progression to microalbuminuria was seen in 28•2% of high-risk and 8•9% of low-risk people (P< 0•001) (hazard ratio (HR), 2•48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1•80 to 3•42 P<0•001, independent of baseline clinical characteristics). A 30% decline in eGFR from baseline was seen in 42 (19•4 %) high-risk participants compared to 62 (3•9 %) low-risk participants, HR 5•15; 95 % CI (3•41 to 7•76; p<0.0001). Development of microalbuminuria was seen in 35 (33%) randomised to placebo and 26 (25%) randomised to spironolactone treatment (HR 0•81, 95% CI, 0•49 to 1•34, P=0•41). Harms: hyperkalaemia was seen in 13 versus 4, and gynaecomastia in 3 versus 0 subjects on spironolactone and placebo, respectively. Interpretation: In people with type 2 diabetes and normoalbuminuria, the urinary proteomic classifier CKD273 was associated with a 2•5 times increased risk for progression to microalbuminuria over a median of 2•5 years, independent of clinical characteristics. Spironolactone did not prevent progression to microalbuminuria in high-risk subjects.

Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) is suggested as an independent gut microbiotaderived risk factor for cardiovascular and renal disease. We investigated associations between plasma TMAO concentrations and cardio-renal outcomes in a prospective study of individuals with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSPlasma TMAO was measured at baseline in 1,159 individuals with type 1 diabetes (58% male, mean 6 SD age 46 6 13 years). End points were all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and renal events tracked from national registries. Associations between TMAO and end points were tested using Cox regression models. RESULTSAfter 15.0 (6.7-19.3) (median [interquartile range]) years of follow-up, we recorded allcause and cardiovascular mortality (n = 363 and 120, respectively), combined CVD (n = 406), coronary outcome (myocardial infarction and coronary intervention) (n = 163), stroke (n = 115), hospitalization for heart failure (n = 81), and end-stage renal disease (n = 144). In univariate analyses, higher TMAO concentrations were associated with all end points (P £ 0.005). Except for stroke and heart failure, all end points remained significantly associated with higher TMAO concentrations after adjustment for conventional cardiovascular risk factors (P £ 0.003). After further adjustment for baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), results became insignificant for all end points. TMAO was inversely associated with baseline eGFR (R 2 = 0.29; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONSIn individuals with type 1 diabetes, higher concentrations of plasma TMAO were associated with mortality, CVD events, and poor renal outcome, independent of conventional risk factors. However, the association became insignificant after further adjustment for baseline eGFR. This could reflect TMAO as a renal function marker or a risk factor for micro-and macrovascular complications mediated through impaired renal function.

OBJECTIVEIn patients with type 1 diabetes, we investigated the association between arterial stiffness and diabetes complications.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSThis was a cross-sectional study including 676 Caucasian patients with type 1 diabetes (374 [55%] men, aged 54 ± 13 years [mean ± SD]) and 51 nondiabetic controls (28 [55%] men, aged 47 ± 13 years). Aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) was measured with SphygmoCor (AtCor Medical, Sydney, Australia) for 635 patients and all 51 controls.RESULTSPWVs (mean ± SD) in patients and controls were 10.4 ± 3.4 and 7.6 ± 1.9 m/s, respectively (P < 0.001). After multivariate adjustment, PWV correlated with age, diabetes duration, urinary albumin excretion rate, heart rate, and blood pressure (P < 0.05 for all). ANCOVA was used for comparisons between groups and adjusted for gender, age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, heart rate, HbA1c, and 24-h mean arterial pressure. PWVs in normoalbuminuric, microalbuminuric, and macroalbuminuric patients were 9.5 ± 3.2, 11.0 ± 3.6, and 11.4 ± 3.0 m/s, respectively (adjusted P < 0.001). PWV in patients with previous cardiovascular disease, versus patients without, was 12.1 ± 3.5 vs. 10.0 ± 3.2 m/s, respectively (adjusted P < 0.001). PWVs in patients with high (≥140/90 mmHg) versus intermediate (130–40/80–89 mmHg) and low (<130/80 mmHg) blood pressure were 11.8 ± 3.6, 10.0 ± 3.0, and 9.8 ± 3.3 m/s, respectively (adjusted P < 0.001). Furthermore, PWV increased with increasing degree of retinopathy: 8.0 ± 2.5 m/s (nil), 10.0 ± 2.8 m/s (simplex), 12.1 ± 3.5 m/s (proliferative), and 12.7 ± 2.4 m/s (blind), respectively (adjusted P < 0.001). Finally, PWV increased with abnormal heart rate variability: 11.5 ± 3.3 m/s vs. 10.1 ± 3.1 m/s (borderline) and 8.1 ± 2.1 m/s (normal) (adjusted P = 0.027).CONCLUSIONSArterial stiffness increased with presence and duration of type 1 diabetes. Furthermore, PWV increased with all the investigated diabetes complications (cardiovascular, renal, retinal, and autonomic disease) independently of other risk factors.

Abstract. Theilade S, Lyngbaek S, Hansen TW, Eugen-

Several small molecule biomarkers have been reported in the literature for prediction and diagnosis of (pre)diabetes, its co-morbidities, and complications. Here, we report the development and validation of a novel, quantitative method for the determination of a selected panel of 34 metabolite biomarkers from human plasma. We selected a panel of metabolites indicative of various clinically-relevant pathogenic stages of diabetes. We combined these candidate biomarkers into a single ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS) method and optimized it, prioritizing simplicity of sample preparation and time needed for analysis, enabling high-throughput analysis in clinical laboratory settings. We validated the method in terms of limits of detection (LOD) and quantitation (LOQ), linearity (R2), and intra- and inter-day repeatability of each metabolite. The method’s performance was demonstrated in the analysis of selected samples from a diabetes cohort study. Metabolite levels were associated with clinical measurements and kidney complications in type 1 diabetes (T1D) patients. Specifically, both amino acids and amino acid-related analytes, as well as specific bile acids, were associated with macro-albuminuria. Additionally, specific bile acids were associated with glycemic control, anti-hypertensive medication, statin medication, and clinical lipid measurements. The developed analytical method is suitable for robust determination of selected plasma metabolites in the diabetes clinic.