The identification of normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) at high risk of adverse PE-related clinical events (i.e. intermediate-risk group) is a major challenge.We combined individual patient data from six studies involving 2874 normotensive patients with PE. We developed a prognostic model for intermediate-risk PE based on the clinical presentation and the assessment of right ventricular dysfunction and myocardial injury. We used a composite of PE-related death, haemodynamic collapse or recurrent PE within 30 days of follow-up as the main outcome measure.The primary outcome occurred in 198 (6.9%) patients. Predictors of complications included systolic blood pressure 90-100 mmHg (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.45, 95% CI 1.50-3.99), heart rate o110 beats per min (aOR 1.87, 95% CI 1.31-2.69), elevated cardiac troponin (aOR 2.49, 95% CI 1.71-3.69) and right ventricular dysfunction (aOR 2.28, 95% CI 1.58-3.29). We used these variables to construct a multidimensional seven-point risk index; the odds ratio for complications per one-point increase in the score was 1.55 (95% CI 1.43-1.68; p,0.001). The model identified three stages (I, II and III) with 30-day PE-related complication rates of 4.2%, 10.8% and 29.2%, respectively.In conclusion, a simple grading system may assist clinicians in identifying intermediate-risk PE. @ERSpublications A simple grading system to identify intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism
Quantifying the importance of the key sites on haemagglutinin in determining the selection advantage of influenza virus: Using A/H3N2 as an example Dear Editor ,
Authors' contributionsSZ and MHW conceived the study. SZ carried out the analysis, and drafted the first manuscript. SZ and MHW discussed the results. All authors read, revised the manuscript, and gave final approval for publication.
Declaration of Competing InterestMHW is a shareholder of Beth Bioinformatics Co., Ltd, and BCYZ is a shareholder of Beth Bioinformatics Co., Ltd and Health View Bioanalytics Ltd.
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participateThe ethical approval or individual consent was not applicable.
Availability of data and materialsAll influenza viruses sequence data were collected via the influenza virus database (IVD) of the National center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI). Please see the online supporting information for details.
Consent for publicationNot applicable.
ObjectiveWe investigated the reliability and accuracy of a bedside diagnostic algorithm for patients presenting with vertigo/unsteadiness to the emergency department.MethodsWe enrolled consecutive adult patients presenting with vertigo/unsteadiness at a tertiary hospital. STANDING, the acronym for the four-step algorithm we have previously described, based on nystagmus observation and well-known diagnostic maneuvers includes (1) the discrimination between SponTAneous and positional nystagmus, (2) the evaluation of the Nystagmus Direction, (3) the head Impulse test, and (4) the evaluation of equilibrium (staNdinG). Reliability of each step was analyzed by Fleiss’ K calculation. The reference standard (central vertigo) was a composite of brain disease including stroke, demyelinating disease, neoplasm, or other brain disease diagnosed by initial imaging or during 3-month follow-up.ResultsThree hundred and fifty-two patients were included. The incidence of central vertigo was 11.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 8.2–15.2%]. The leading cause was ischemic stroke (70%). The STANDING showed a good reliability (overall Fleiss K 0.83), the second step showing the highest (0.95), and the third step the lowest (0.74) agreement. The overall accuracy of the algorithm was 88% (95% CI 85–88%), showing high sensitivity (95%, 95% CI 83–99%) and specificity (87%, 95% CI 85–87%), very high-negative predictive value (99%, 95% CI 97–100%), and a positive predictive value of 48% (95% CI 41–50%) for central vertigo.ConclusionUsing the STANDING algorithm, non-sub-specialists achieved good reliability and high accuracy in excluding stroke and other threatening causes of vertigo/unsteadiness.
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