Summary Cyclin E is a GI cyclin which has been proposed to be one of the key regulators of the important GI/S transition, and could consequently be a potential deregulated molecule in tumours. Recently, it has been observed that cyclin E is overexpressed in a variety of malignancies including breast cancer and that several isoforms of the protein exists. In this study we have characterised the cyclin E expression in 114 tumour specimens from patients with primary breast cancer using Western blotting. Various expression of cyclin E was observed among tumours and a group of 27 patients out of 100 patients with stage I-III disease, identified as having tumours with high cycin E levels, had a significantly increased risk of death and relapse from breast cancer (P=0.0002 and P=0.015 respectively). Even in the subgroup of axillary node-negative patients the cyclin E level was of prognostic importance. There was also a strong association between cyclin E expression and oestrogen receptor status (P<0.00001), and tumours with high cyclin E expression were in general oestrogen receptor negative, suggesting a potential role for cyclin E in mechanisms responsible for oestrogenindependent tumour growth.

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To perform an epidemiological evaluation of the predictive value of p53 autoantibodies in breast cancer, we measured antibodies against p53 in serum samples from 165 breast cancer patients in comparison with serum samples from 330 healthy controls, selected from the same population as the cases and matched for age, sex and specimen storage time. Median age of patients was 51 years (range 25–64 years). Presence of serum p53 autoantibodies was analysed by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and confirmed by Western blotting. The lower ELISA reactivities were similar for cases and controls, but presence of high-level reactivity was more common among cases than among controls [odds ratio (OR) 9.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.40–50.43]. Presence of Western blot-detected p53 autoantibodies had a very similar association (OR 10.8, CI 3.0–59.4). Among the cases, we also studied whether there was any correlation between level of anti-p53 antibodies and stage of the disease or survival. There was no significant correlation between presence of antibodies and stage of the disease. There was a significant negative correlation between presence of p53 antibodies and survival ( P = 0.003). A stepwise multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that T-stage, age and presence of anti-p53 antibodies were significant independent prognostic variables, with a dose-dependent negative effect on survival for all three variables. We conclude that presence of anti-p53 antibodies are of significance both for the risk of having breast cancer and the risk of dying from breast cancer. 1999 Cancer Research Campaign

Background: It is not clear whether risk factors for local recurrence after breast-conserving surgery differ in women having surgery for in situ or invasive cancer. Furthermore, the Nottingham Prognostic Index (NPI) and Nottingham Histological Grade (NHG) have been little studied as determinants of local recurrence risk.Method: In a case-control study (491 cases and 1098 controls) nested within a cohort of 7502 women who had surgery for in situ or invasive cancer of the breast, patient characteristics, tumour characteristics and treatment-related variables were evaluated as risk factors for local recurrence.Results: Multivariate conditional logistic regression analyses showed that age below 40 years, tumour multicentricity and an unclear or unknown surgical margin were significant risk factors for local recurrence. Radiotherapy to the breast and adjuvant hormone therapy were protective. Cancer in situ was not associated with a higher risk of local recurrence than invasive cancer (odds ratio 1·0, 95 per cent confidence interval 0·8 to 1·3). NHG and NPI were not helpful in determining risk of local recurrence. Conclusion:Margin status, age, tumour multicentricity, and use of radiotherapy and adjuvant hormone therapy were important determinants of risk of local recurrence. With the exception of surgical margin, variables related to the quality of surgical management did not predict risk of local recurrence.

Axillary recurrence is rare, although more common in younger women with large tumours. Radiotherapy to the breast was protective. Tumour size and node status were the most important prognostic factors in women with axillary recurrence.