Plant projects, referred to as Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC), generate massive amounts of data throughout their life cycle, from the planning stages to the operation and maintenance (OM) stages. Many EPC contractors struggle with their projects due to the complexity of the decision-making processes, owing to the vast amount of project data generated during each project stage. In line with the fourth industrial revolution, the demand for engineering project management solutions to apply artificial intelligence (AI) in big data technology is increasing. The purpose of this study was to predict the risk of contractor and support decision-making at each project stage using machine-learning (ML) technology based on data generated in the bidding, engineering, construction, and OM stages of EPC projects. As a result of this study, the Engineering Machine-learning Automation Platform (EMAP), a cloud-based integrated analysis tool applied with big data and AI/ML technology, was developed. EMAP is an intelligent decision support system that consists of five modules: Invitation to Bid (ITB) Analysis, Design Cost Estimation, Design Error Checking, Change Order Forecasting, and Equipment Predictive Maintenance, using advanced AI/ML algorithms. In addition, each module was validated through case studies to assure the performance and accuracy of the module. This study contributes to the strengthening of the risk response for each stage of the EPC project, especially preventing errors by the project managers, and improving their work accuracy. Project risk management using AI/ML breaks away from the existing risk management practices centered on statistical analysis, and further expands the research scalability of related works.
Maintenance activities to replace, repair, and revamp equipment in the industrial plant sector are gradually needed for sustainability during the plant’s life cycle. In order to carry out these revamping activities, the plant owners exchange many purchase orders (POs) with equipment suppliers, including technical and specification documents and commercial procurement content. As POs are written in various formats with large volumes and complexities, it is often time-consuming for the owner’s engineer to review them and it may lead to errors and omissions. This study proposed the purchase order recognition and analysis system (PORAS), which automatically detects and compares risk clauses between plant owners’ and suppliers’ POs by utilizing artificial intelligence (AI). The PORAS is a comprehensive framework consisting of two independent modules and four model components that accurately reflect on the added value of the PORAS. The table recognition and comparison (TRC) module is utilized for risk clauses in POs written in tables with its two components, the table comparison (TRC-C) and table recognition (TRC-R) models. The critical terms in general conditions (CTGC) module analyzes the patterns of risk clauses in general texts, then extracts them with a rule-based algorithm and compares them through entity matching. In the TRC-C model using machine learning (Ditto model), a few errors occurred due to insufficient training data, resulting in an accuracy of 87.8%, whereas in the TRC-R model, a rule-based algorithm, errors occurred in only some exceptional cases; thus, its F1 score was evaluated to be 96.9%. The CTGC module’s F2 score for automatic extraction performance was evaluated as 79.1% due to some data’s bias. Overall, the validation study shows that while a human review of the risk clauses in a PO manually took hours, it took only an average of 10 min with the PORAS. Therefore, this time saving can significantly reduce the owner engineer’s PO workload. In essence, this study contributes to achieving sustainable engineering processes through the intelligence and automation of document and risk management in the plant industry.
The steel industry has been forced to switch from the traditional blast furnace to the electric arc furnace (EAF) process to reduce carbon emissions. However, EAF still relies entirely on the operators’ proficiency to determine the electrical power input. This study aims to enhance the efficiency of the EAF process by predicting the tap temperature in real time through a data-driven approach and by applying a system that automatically sets the input amount of power to the production site. We developed a tap temperature prediction model (TTPM) with a machine learning (ML)-based support vector regression (SVR) algorithm. The operation data of the stainless EAF, where the actual production work was carried out, were extracted, and the models using six ML algorithms were trained. The model validation results show that the model with an SVR radial basis function (RBF) algorithm resulted in the best performance with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 20.14. The SVR algorithm performed better than the others for features such as noise. As a result of a five-month analysis of the operating performance of the developed TTPM for the stainless EAF, the tap temperature deviation decreased by 17% and the average power consumption decreased by 282 kWh/heat compared with the operation that depended on the operator’s skill. In the results of the economic evaluation of the facility investment, the economic feasibility was found to be sufficient, with an internal rate of return (IRR) of 35.8%. Applying the developed TTPM to the stainless EAF and successfully operating it for ten months verified the system’s reliability. In terms of the increasing proportion of EAF production used to decarbonize the steel industry, it is expected that various studies will be conducted more actively to improve the efficiency of the EAF process in the future. This study contributes to the improvement of steel companies’ manufacturing competitiveness and the carbon neutrality of the steel industry by achieving the energy and production efficiency improvements associated with the EAF process.
Recently, equipment replacement and maintenance repair and operation (MRO) optimization have substantially increased owing to the aging and deterioration of industrial plants, such as steel-making factories in Korea. Therefore, plant owners are required to quickly review equipment supply contracts, i.e., purchase order (PO) documents, with suppliers and vendors. Currently, there is inconsistency in the time and quality required for the PO document review process by engineers, depending on their manual skills and practice. This study developed a general provisions question-answering model (GPQAM) by combining knowledge graph (KG) and question-answering (QA) techniques to search for semantically connected contract clauses through the definition of relationships between entities during the review of equipment purchase contracts. The PO documents analyzed in this case study were based on one steel-making company’s general provisions (GP). GPQAM is a machine learning (ML)-based model with two sub-models (i.e., KG and QA) that automatically generates the most relevant answers to semantic search questions through a cypher query statement in GP for the PO engineers. First, based on the developed GP lexicon and its classifying taxonomy to be stored in the Neo4j graph database (GDB), the KG sub-model finds the corresponding synonyms and consequently shows GP-related information in a graphic form. Second, the QA sub-model is a function to find and answer contract information within the KG and applies pattern-matching technology based on the Aho–Corasick (AC) algorithm. Third, nodes with the meaning most similar to the question are selected using similarity measurement if a response cannot be extracted through the pattern-matching process. Forty-five pilot test questions were created and applied to the GPQAM model evaluation. The F1 score was 82.8%, indicating that the unsupervised training methods developed in this study could be better applied to a semantic QA process in plant engineering documents, where sufficient training data are limited and bargained. An expert survey of PO practitioners confirmed that the semantic QA capability of GPQAM might be efficient and useful for their work. As the first case of applying KG technology to semantic QA for plant equipment PO contracts, this study might be a meaningful contribution to the steel plant industry and, therefore, extended to construction and engineering contract applications.
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