In this paper we consider the estimation of the weights of optimal portfolios from the Bayesian point of view under the assumption that the conditional distribution of the logarithmic returns is normal. Using the standard priors for the mean vector and the covariance matrix, we derive the posterior distributions for the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio. Moreover, we reparameterize the model to allow informative and non-informative priors directly for the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio. The posterior distributions of the portfolio weights are derived in explicit form for almost all models. The models are compared by using the coverage probabilities of credible intervals.In an empirical study we analyze the posterior densities of the weights of an international portfolio.
In this paper we investigate the parametric inference for the linear fractional stable motion in high and low frequency setting. The symmetric linear fractional stable motion is a three-parameter family, which constitutes a natural non-Gaussian analogue of the scaled fractional Brownian motion. It is fully characterised by the scaling parameter σ > 0, the self-similarity parameter H ∈ (0, 1) and the stability index α ∈ (0, 2) of the driving stable motion. The parametric estimation of the model is inspired by the limit theory for stationary increments Lévy moving average processes that has been recently studied in [5]. More specifically, we combine (negative) power variation statistics and empirical characteristic functions to obtain consistent estimates of (σ, α, H). We present the law of large numbers and some fully feasible weak limit theorems.
In this paper we derive the finite-sample distribution of the estimated weights of the tangency portfolio when both the population and the sample covariance matrices are singular. These results are used in the derivation of a statistical test on the weights of the tangency portfolio where the distribution of the test statistic is obtained under both the null and the alternative hypotheses. Moreover, we establish the high-dimensional asymptotic distribution of the estimated weights of the tangency portfolio when both the portfolio dimension and the sample size increase to infinity. The theoretical findings are implemented in an empirical application dealing with the returns on the stocks included into the S&P 500 index.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.