Early assessment of treatment response using flow cytometry provides powerful independent prognostic information in older adults with AML, lending support to the incorporation of MRD detection to refine risk stratification and inform clinical trial design in this challenging group of patients.

We investigated the effect on outcome of measurable or minimal residual disease (MRD) status after each induction course to evaluate the extent of its predictive value for acute myeloid leukemia (AML) risk groups, including NPM1 wild-type (wt) standard risk, when incorporated with other induction response criteria. MethodsAs part of the NCRI AML17 trial, 2,450 younger adult patients with AML or high-risk myelodysplastic syndrome had prospective multiparameter flow cytometric MRD (MFC-MRD) assessment. After course 1 (C1), responses were categorized as resistant disease (RD), partial remission (PR), and complete remission (CR) or complete remission with absolute neutrophil count , 1,000/mL or thrombocytopenia , 100,000/mL (CRi) by clinicians, with CR/CRi subdivided by MFC-MRD assay into MRD+ and MRD2. Patients without high-risk factors, including Flt3 internal tandem duplication wt/2NPM1-wt subgroup, received a second daunorubicin/cytosine arabinoside induction; course 2 (C2) was intensified for patients with high-risk factors. ResultsSurvival outcomes from PR and MRD+ responses after C1 were similar, particularly for good-to standard-risk subgroups (5-year overall survival [OS], 27% RD v 46% PR v 51% MRD+ v 70% MRD2; P , .001). Adjusted analyses confirmed significant OS differences between C1 RD versus PR/MRD+ but not PR versus MRD+. CRi after C1 reduced OS in MRD+ (19% CRi v 45% CR; P = .001) patients, with a smaller effect after C2. The prognostic effect of C2 MFC-MRD status (relapse: hazard ratio [HR], 1.88 [95% CI, 1.50 to 2.36], P , .001; survival: HR, 1.77 [95% CI, 1.41 to 2.22], P , .001) remained significant when adjusting for C1 response. MRD positivity appeared less discriminatory in poor-risk patients by stratified analyses. For the NPM1-wt standard-risk subgroup, C2 MRD+ was significantly associated with poorer outcomes (OS, 33% v 63% MRD2, P = .003; relapse incidence, 89% when MRD+ $ 0.1%); transplant benefit was more apparent in patients with MRD+ (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.31 to 1.69) than those with MRD2 (HR, 1.68 [95% CI, 0.75 to 3.85]; P = .16 for interaction). ConclusionMFC-MRD can improve outcome stratification by extending the definition of partial response after first induction and may help predict NPM1-wt standard-risk patients with poor outcome who benefit from transplant in the first CR. J Clin Oncol 36:1486-1497. © 2018 by American Society of Clinical Oncology INTRODUCTIONIn acute myeloid leukemia (AML), failure to achieve morphologic complete remission (CR) after a first cycle of induction in previously untreated patients is an established independent prognostic factor from earlier studies. 1-3 Thus, morphologic response at this time point is often incorporated with genetic and pretreatment clinical parameters to guide further therapy, 4 including second induction courses, choice of consolidation, and whether intensification from allogeneic stemcell transplantation (SCT) may be appropriate in otherwise intermediate-risk patients. Despite morphologic response criteria being standard, a differe...