Theoretical cost/benefit propositions involving individual participation choices in the presidential nomination process are examined through an aggregate data analysis of turnout in the 1976 Democratic nomination contest. Precinct caucus turnout choice follows a pattern much more in accord with these propositions than does primary turnout choice. Both the ideological range and attentiveness of candidates sizably encourage caucus turnout. Primary turnout is encouraged only and unexpectedly by primary closure. These findings suggest that rational choice models can best explain the behavior of caucus activists who more thoroughly recognize and esteem the benefits delineated in these models than do primary electorates.

Professor Schier argues that the central aim of the Bush presidency is to complete the project of political reconstruction begun by Reagan, namely to dislodge liberal conceptions about the proper role of government and implant a conservative regime of military hawkishness, supply-side economics, and enhanced executive power at the expense of Congress. From a political perspective, the Bush team has done an admirable job reviving Reagan era initiatives by using political tactics that appeal to swing voters even as policies reflect the preferences of the conservative GOP base. Bush has successfully challenged “institutional thickening” that impedes genuine political change. Long term, however, Schier predicts a rift in the Republican Party over growing deficits, which threatens the presidential project to redefine government.

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