Corporate groups consist of a set of companies, often described as subsidiaries, which are usually controlled by one single entity, the parent or holding company. The term control means the parent company’s rights to direct the relevant activities of other companies. A parent company can control a subsidiary either directly or indirectly through its voting power. Groups’ structure can be very complex usually with multiple crossholding and loop participations driving to not observable sharing rights. The aim of this paper is to examine how the parent company of a group with given participation rates can increase its capital by changing the share structure of the group and maintain management control over the group while the least capital comes from the majority. Furthermore, using evolver software we derive to the new optimal structure of the group and the maximum parent’s cash inflow from shares exchange. The value of this research to show the possibility for a parent company to create additional capital, by maximizing the minority interest, and at the same time direct voting rights in its favor.
This paper aims to develop a comprehensive procedure for calculating the fair value of a company by predicting its future values using historical data of key ratios and applying dynamic algorithms to improve the selection of forecasting methods. The most important business valuation methodologies are based on discounting a firm’s future variables, and there are many ways to predict them through financial and quantitative methodologies. This paper provides the most important and commonly used time series forecasting methodologies that can be used for variables, such as financial ratios, and proposes three different algorithms to help and improve the selection of the best-fit method for each of the model’s variables. Another, more indirect way of predicting values is using operational research methodologies, such as Monte Carlo simulation, where the output of the sensitivity analysis gives the most likely firm value, taking into account the distribution of each variable. This paper includes a complete example of using the above procedures in a real Greek company to calculate its fair value. It offers alternative approaches to the problem that exists around the process of predicting variables, with the help of technology. We hope this will be a useful tool for future use.
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