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Background HER2-low breast cancer (BC) is currently an area of active interest. This study evaluated the impact of low expression of HER2 on survival outcomes in HER2-negative non-metastatic breast cancer (BC). Methods Patients with HER2-negative non-metastatic BC from 6 centres within the Asian Breast Cancer Cooperative Group (ABCCG) (n = 28,280) were analysed. HER2-low was defined as immunohistochemistry (IHC) 1+ or 2+ and in situ hybridization non-amplified (ISH−) and HER2-zero as IHC 0. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) by hormone receptor status and HER2 IHC 0, 1+ and 2+ ISH− status were the main outcomes. A combined TCGA-BRCA and METABRIC cohort (n = 1967) was also analysed to explore the association between HER2 expression, ERBB2 copy number variation (CNV) status and RFS. Results ABCCG cohort median follow-up was 6.6 years; there were 12,260 (43.4%) HER2-low BC and 16,020 (56.6%) HER2-zero BC. The outcomes were better in HER2-low BC than in HER2-zero BC (RFS: centre-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.88, 95% CI 0.82–0.93, P < 0.001; OS: centre-adjusted HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.76–0.89, P < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, HER2-low status was prognostic (RFS: HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.85–0.96, P = 0.002; OS: HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.79–0.93, P < 0.001). These differences remained significant in hormone receptor-positive tumours and for OS in hormone receptor-negative tumours. Superior outcomes were observed for HER2 IHC1+ BC versus HER2-zero BC (RFS: HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83–0.96, P = 0.001; OS: HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78–0.93, P = 0.001). No significant differences were seen between HER2 IHC2+ ISH− and HER2-zero BCs. In the TCGA-BRCA and METABRIC cohorts, ERBB2 CNV status was an independent RFS prognostic factor (neutral versus non-neutral HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.59–0.86, P < 0.001); no differences in RFS by ERBB2 mRNA expression levels were found. Conclusions HER2-low BC had a superior prognosis compared to HER2-zero BC in the non-metastatic setting, though absolute differences were modest and driven by HER2 IHC 1+ BC. ERBB2 CNV merits further investigation in HER2-negative BC.

Breast cancer survival has improved with significant progress in treatment and disease management. However, compliance with treatment varies. Treatment guidelines for older patients are unclear. We aim to identify predictors of noncompliance with recommended therapy in a large breast cancer population and assess the impact of noncompliance on survival. Our study included 19,241 non-metastatic female breast cancer patients, of whom 3,158 (16%) died within 10 years post-diagnosis (median survival = 5.8 years). We studied the association between treatment noncompliance and factors with logistic regression, and the impact of treatment noncompliance on survival with a flexible parametric survival model framework. The highest proportion of noncompliance was observed for chemotherapy (18%). Predictors of noncompliance with chemotherapy, radiotherapy and endocrine therapy included age, tumor size, nodal involvement and subtype (except radiotherapy). Factors associated with not receiving surgery included age and subtype. Treatment noncompliance was associated with worse overall survival for surgery (HR: 2.26 [1.80-2.83]), chemotherapy (1.25 [1.11-1.41]), radiotherapy (2.28 [1.94-2.69]) and endocrine therapy (1.70 [1.41-2.04]). Worse survival was similarly observed in older patients for whom guidelines generally do not apply. Our results highlight the importance of following appropriate treatment as recommended by current guidelines. Older patients may benefit from similar recommendations. Breast cancer is the leading type of cancer among Asian women, with an increasing number of cases diagnosed every year 1. Between 2003 and 2008, there were more than 2 million women living with breast cancer in SouthEast Asia, where a population of over 650 million women resides 2. As breast cancer is common, the number of lives claimed by the disease is high. On average ~100,000 deaths from breast cancer were recorded every year in the same region 3. With significant progress in treatment and disease management, a growing number of women are surviving breast cancer 4. However, breast cancer survival can vary between countries. While 90% of patients in the United States live at least five years after the cancer is found 5 , the corresponding proportion is lower in SouthEast Asia. In a report by Bhoo-Pathy et al., five-year overall survival rates were estimated to range from 58.5% to 75.8% in SouthEast Asia 6. Several professional organizations and consensus groups exist to translate evidence-based medicine into recommendations for best patient care 7. Examples of providers of such clinical practice guidelines include the