Wider use in psychology of confidence intervals (CIs), especially as error bars in figures, is a desirable development. However, psychologists seldom use CIs and may not understand them well. The authors discuss the interpretation of figures with error bars and analyze the relationship between CIs and statistical significance testing. They propose 7 rules of eye to guide the inferential use of figures with error bars. These include general principles: Seek bars that relate directly to effects of interest, be sensitive to experimental design, and interpret the intervals. They also include guidelines for inferential interpretation of the overlap of CIs on independent group means. Wider use of interval estimation in psychology has the potential to improve research communication substantially.
Reform of statistical practice in the social and behavioral sciences requires wider use of confidence intervals (CIs), effect size measures, and meta-analysis. The authors discuss four reasons for promoting use of CIs: They (a) are readily interpretable, (b) are linked to familiar statistical significance tests, (c) can encourage meta-analytic thinking, and (d) give information about precision. The authors discuss calculation of CIs for a basic standardized effect size measure, Cohen’s δ (also known as Cohen’s d), and contrast these with the familiar CIs for original score means. CIs for δ require use of noncentral t distributions, which the authors apply also to statistical power and simple meta-analysis of standardized effect sizes. They provide the ESCI graphical software, which runs under Microsoft Excel, to illustrate the discussion. Wider use of CIs for δ and other effect size measures should help promote highly desirable reform of statistical practice in the social sciences.
OBJECTIVE -In this study, we used neurocognitive assessment and neuroimaging to examine brain function in youth with type 1 diabetes studied prospectively from diagnosis.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -We studied type 1 diabetic (n ϭ 106) and control subjects (n ϭ 75) with no significant group difference on IQ at baseline 12 years previously by using the Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of General Intelligence, magnetic resonance spectroscopy and imaging, and metabolic control data from diagnosis.RESULTS -Type 1 diabetic subjects had lower verbal and full scale IQs than control subjects (both P Ͻ 0.05). Type 1 diabetic subjects had lower N-acetylaspartate in frontal lobes and basal ganglia and higher myoinositol and choline in frontal and temporal lobes and basal ganglia than control subjects (all P Ͻ 0.05). Type 1 diabetic subjects, relative to control subjects, had decreased gray matter in bilateral thalami and right parahippocampal gyrus and insular cortex. White matter was decreased in bilateral parahippocampi, left temporal lobe, and middle frontal area (all P Ͻ 0.0005 uncorrected). T2 in type 1 diabetic subjects was increased in left superior temporal gyrus and decreased in bilateral lentiform nuclei, caudate nuclei and thalami, and right insular area (all P Ͻ 0.0005 uncorrected). Early-onset disease predicted lower performance IQ, and hypoglycemia was associated with lower verbal IQ and volume reduction in thalamus; poor metabolic control predicted elevated myoinositol and decreased T2 in thalamus; and older age predicted volume loss and T2 change in basal ganglia.CONCLUSIONS -This study documents brain effects 12 years after diagnosis in a type 1 diabetic sample whose IQ at diagnosis matched that of control subjects. Findings suggest several neuropathological processes including gliosis, demyelination, and altered osmolarity. Diabetes Care 32:445-450, 2009
Since the mid-1980s, confidence intervals (CIs) have been standard in medical journals. We sought lessons for psychology from medicine's experience with statistical reform by investigating two attempts by Kenneth Rothman to change statistical practices. We examined 594 American Journal of Public Health (AJPH) articles published between 1982 and 2000 and 110 Epidemiology articles published in 1990 and 2000. Rothman's editorial instruction to report CIs and not p values was largely effective: In AJPH, sole reliance on p values dropped from 63% to 5%, and CI reporting rose from 10% to 54%; Epidemiology showed even stronger compliance. However, compliance was superficial: Very few authors referred to CIs when discussing results. The results of our survey support what other research has indicated: Editorial policy alone is not a sufficient mechanism for statistical reform. Achieving substantial, desirable change will require further guidance regarding use and interpretation of CIs and appropriate effect size measures. Necessary steps will include studying researchers' understanding of CIs, improving education, and developing empirically justified recommendations for improved statistical practice.
2014):Prevalence and socio-demographic correlates of psychological distress among students at an Australian university, Studies in Higher Education, This research contributes to the empirical literature on university student mental well-being by investigating the prevalence and socio-demographic correlates of severe levels of psychological distress. More than 5000 students at a metropolitan Australian university participated in an anonymous online survey in 2013 that included the short form of the Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scales (DASS-21). Comparisons with published research show that our respondents' DASS results were substantially higher than those observed in studies with general community samples, but comparable to other studies targeting university students. Of the explanatory variables analysed, the student's field of study, the number of hours spent studying per week and the number of hours spent caring for family members were all strongly associated with scores in the severe or extremely severe range for each of the DASS scales. These findings provide guidance for policy development, service delivery and further research in higher education.
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