Well-established fine-scale urban mobility models today depend on detailed but cumbersome and expensive travel surveys for their calibration. Not much is known, however, about the set of mechanisms needed to generate complete mobility profiles if only using passive datasets with mostly sparse traces of individuals. In this study, we present a mechanistic modeling framework (TimeGeo) that effectively generates urban mobility patterns with resolution of 10 min and hundreds of meters. It ties together the inference of home and work activity locations from data, with the modeling of flexible activities (e.g., other) in space and time. The temporal choices are captured by only three features: the weekly home-based tour number, the dwell rate, and the burst rate. These combined generate for each individual: (i) stay duration of activities, (ii) number of visited locations per day, and (iii) daily mobility networks. These parameters capture how an individual deviates from the circadian rhythm of the population, and generate the wide spectrum of empirically observed mobility behaviors. The spatial choices of visited locations are modeled by a rank-based exploration and preferential return (r-EPR) mechanism that incorporates space in the EPR model. Finally, we show that a hierarchical multiplicative cascade method can measure the interaction between land use and generation of trips. In this way, urban structure is directly related to the observed distance of travels. This framework allows us to fully embrace the massive amount of individual data generated by information and communication technologies (ICTs) worldwide to comprehensively model urban mobility without travel surveys.
This analysis can facilitate early decision-making during process development.
Accurate occupancy is crucial for planning for sustainable buildings. Using massive, passively-collected mobile phone data, we introduce a novel framework to estimate building occupancy at unprecedented scale. We show that, at urban-scale, occupancy differs widely from current estimates based on building types. For commercial buildings, we find typical occupancy rates are 5 times lower than current assumptions imply, while for residential buildings occupancy rates vary widely by neighborhood. Our mobile phone based occupancy estimates are integrated with a state-of-the-art urban building energy model to understand their impact on energy use predictions. Depending on the assumed relationship between occupancy and internal building loads, we find energy consumption which differs by +1% to −15% for residential buildings and by −4% to −21% for commercial buildings, compared to standard methods. This highlights a need for new occupancy-to-load models which can be applied at urban-scale to the diverse set of city building types.
In order to exploit plants as environmental biosensors, previous researches have been focused on the electrical signal response of the plants to different environmental stimuli. One of the important outcomes of those researches has been the extraction of meaningful features from the electrical signals and the use of such features for the classification of the stimuli which affected the plants. The classification results are dependent on the classifier algorithm used, features extracted and the quality of data. This paper presents an innovative way of extracting features from raw plant electrical signal response to classify the external stimuli which caused the plant to produce such a signal. A curve fitting approach in extracting features from the raw signal for classification of the applied stimuli has been adopted in this work, thereby evaluating whether the shape of the raw signal is dependent on the stimuli applied. Four types of curve fitting models—Polynomial, Gaussian, Fourier and Exponential, have been explored. The fitting accuracy (i.e., fitting of curve to the actual raw signal) depicted through R-squared values has allowed exploration of which curve fitting model performs best. The coefficients of the curve fit models were then used as features. Thereafter, using simple classification algorithms such as Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) etc. within the curve fit coefficient space, we have verified that within the available data, above 90% classification accuracy can be achieved. The successful hypothesis taken in this work will allow further research in implementing plants as environmental biosensors.
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