Background
The proportion of older patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT) is rising. While increased age and LT-MELD are known to increase the risk of graft loss, no studies have explored whether there is a synergistic effect between LT-age and LT-MELD.
Methods
All US adult, non-Status 1 recipients of primary deceased donor LT from 2/05–1/10 without MELD exceptions were included (n=15,677). Recipients were categorized by LT-age [18–59y (n=11,966), 60–64y (n=2,181), 65–69y (n=1,177), ≥70y (n=343)] and LT-MELD [low (<20, n=5,290), mid (20–27, n=5,112), high (≥28, n=5,265)]. Adjusted Cox models evaluated the 1) independent and 2) combined effects of LT-age and LT-MELD on graft loss (death or re-LT).
Results
LT-age ≥70y (HR=1.65, 95% CI 1.08–1.82) and LT-MELD ≥28 (HR=1.46, 95% CI 1.02–1.47) were independently associated with increased risk of graft loss (p<0.001). In a model allowing for the interaction between LT-age and LT-MELD, the risk of graft loss for recipients ≥70y with MELD ≥28 was higher than predicted by the additive model (HR=2.38, 95%CI 1.73–3.27, p<0.001) resulting in one-year graft survival of 56%. However, the increased risk of graft loss in recipients ≥70y was attenuated at lower LT-MELD <28. Furthermore, the interaction term was not significant for any other LT-age and LT-MELD combination.
Conclusion
Our analyses suggest that recipients should not be excluded solely based on age, however LT for recipients ≥70y at high LT-MELD scores should be undertaken cautiously.