IMPORTANCE Clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) describes a first clinical incident suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS). Identifying patients with CIS who have a high risk of future disease activity and subsequent MS diagnosis is crucial for patient monitoring and the initiation of disease-modifying therapy. OBJECTIVE To investigate the association of retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) results with future disease activity in patients with CIS. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This prospective, longitudinal cohort study took place between January 2011 and May 2017 at 2 German tertiary referral centers. A total of 179 patients with CIS were screened (80 in Berlin and 99 in Munich). Patients underwent neurological examination, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and OCT. Only eyes with no previous optic neuritis were considered for OCT analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was not meeting the no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-3) criteria; secondary outcomes were MS diagnosis (by the 2010 McDonald criteria) and worsening of disability. The primary measure was OCT-derived ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer thickness; the secondary measures included peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thickness, inner nuclear layer thickness, and MRI-derived T2-weighted lesions. RESULTS A total of 97 of the 179 screened patients (54.2%) were enrolled in the study at a median of 93 (interquartile range [IQR], 62-161) days after a first demyelinating event. The median follow-up duration (Kaplan-Meier survival time) was 729 (IQR, 664-903) days. Of 97 patients with CIS (mean age 33.6 [7.9] years; 61 [62.9%] female), 58 (59%) did not meet NEDA-3 criteria during the follow-up period. A Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant probability difference in not meeting NEDA-3 criteria by ganglion cell and inner plexiform later thickness (thinnest vs thickest tertile: hazard ratio [HR], 3.33 [95% CI, 1.70-6.55; P < .001; log-rank P = .001). A follow-up diagnosis of MS was more likely for patients with low ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer thickness (thinnest vs thickest tertile: HR, 4.05 [95% CI, 1.93-8.50]; P < .001). Low peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer thickness likewise indicated risk of not meeting NEDA-3 criteria (thinnest vs thickest tertile: HR, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.29-4.66]; P = .01; log-rank P = .02). Inner nuclear layer thickness and T2-weighted lesion count were not associated with not meeting NEDA-3 criteria. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Retinal ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer thickness might prove a valuable imaging marker for anticipating future disease activity and diagnosis of MS in patients with CIS, which can potentially support patient monitoring and initiation of disease-modifying therapy.

Background and ObjectivesTo determine optic nerve and retinal damage in aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-IgG)-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) in a large international cohort after previous studies have been limited by small and heterogeneous cohorts.MethodsThe cross-sectional Collaborative Retrospective Study on retinal optical coherence tomography (OCT) in neuromyelitis optica collected retrospective data from 22 centers. Of 653 screened participants, we included 283 AQP4-IgG–seropositive patients with NMOSD and 72 healthy controls (HCs). Participants underwent OCT with central reading including quality control and intraretinal segmentation. The primary outcome was thickness of combined ganglion cell and inner plexiform (GCIP) layer; secondary outcomes were thickness of peripapillary retinal nerve fiber layer (pRNFL) and visual acuity (VA).ResultsEyes with ON (NMOSD-ON, N = 260) or without ON (NMOSD-NON, N = 241) were assessed compared with HCs (N = 136). In NMOSD-ON, GCIP layer (57.4 ± 12.2 μm) was reduced compared with HC (GCIP layer: 81.4 ± 5.7 μm, p < 0.001). GCIP layer loss (−22.7 μm) after the first ON was higher than after the next (−3.5 μm) and subsequent episodes. pRNFL observations were similar. NMOSD-NON exhibited reduced GCIP layer but not pRNFL compared with HC. VA was greatly reduced in NMOSD-ON compared with HC eyes, but did not differ between NMOSD-NON and HC.DiscussionOur results emphasize that attack prevention is key to avoid severe neuroaxonal damage and vision loss caused by ON in NMOSD. Therapies ameliorating attack-related damage, especially during a first attack, are an unmet clinical need. Mild signs of neuroaxonal changes without apparent vision loss in ON-unaffected eyes might be solely due to contralateral ON attacks and do not suggest clinically relevant progression but need further investigation.

Optic neuritis causes substantial retinal damage and vision loss independent of the underlying disease. Our study supports that GCIP damage starts closely to clinical onset. Good structure-function correlations between OCT and vision support the importance of OCT in monitoring acute ON.